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The Bears (5-6) head to the Motor City to take on the Lions (3-7-1) on Thanksgiving day. When these two teams played in Chicago on November 10, the Bears beat the Lions 20-13. Now, Detroit has a chance to spoil Chicago’s Thanksgiving in their rematch. The Lions will still be without Matthew Stafford as the Detroit front office is deciding to hold him out the rest of they way. Jeff Driskel will have to try and take down the Bears as he has all three games he has started. As of writing this, the Bears are one-point favorites over the Lions. For odds movement and full matchup history, visit the Chicago Bears and Detroit Lions matchup page.
Date: Thursday, November 28, 2019
Time: 12:30 PM ET
Location: Ford Field, Detroit, Michigan
Bears: TE Adam Shaheen – Foot (Q), DB Sherrick McManis – Groin (Q),
LB Danny Trevathan – Elbow (Q), T Bobby Massie – Ankle (Q)
Lions: DB Tracy Walker – Knee (Q), QB Matthew Stafford – Back (O), DE Da’Shawn Hand – Ankle (Q), CB Rashaan Melvin – Ribs (Q), WR Marvin Hall – Foot (Q), CB Jamal Agnew – Ankle (Q), DE Trey Flowers – Concussion (Q), C Frank Ragnow – Concussion (Q)
Chicago Bears Analysis
Chicago has won two of their last three games in an effort to make a miracle run at the playoffs. The Bears had over 300 yards of offense for the second time this season in their win over the Giants on Sunday. This was an improvement in what has been a bad offensive season for the Bears, but they’re far from good. They rank 31st in yards per play, and 32nd in yards per pass. In their week 10 win over the Lions, they had 226 total yards of offense, so we’ll see if they can add on to their recent success. Also, the biggest question is how the Bears offensive line will hold up. They allowed five sacks in their last game against the Lions. Chicago has allowed 30 sacks this season, and could be an issue on Thursday.
In their last five games, he Bears defense is holding teams to 16.6 points per contest, and they rank sixth in opponents yards per play. After being left off the stat sheet week 11, Khalil Mack bounced back against the Giants by have one sack, a tackle for loss, and a forced fumble. Mack’s performance has been subpar this season, but after last Sunday, he could bounce back for the final stretch of the season. Also, the Bears 357 yards of offense in their last game against Detroit. Their defense should tighten up Thanksgiving now that there is more film on Driskel, and the Bears know what to expect from him. Expect the Bears to force a turnover this week as well. Driskel has thrown four interceptions in three games already.
Chicago Bears Depth Chart
Detroit Lions Analysis
Detroit’s season is in free fall. They have lost seven of their last eight games, and are looking to bench Stafford for the rest of the season. This has become a mess in the motor city, as their front office is just looking ahead to 2020 at this point. The Lions offense ranks 19th in yards per play since Jeff Driskel took over at quarterback. Despite being 0-3 since Driskel took over, Detroit is still averaging over 300 yards of offense. Unfortunately, they’re struggling to hang onto the ball and finish drives. This proved to be the problem in their losses to Chicago and Washington over the last few weeks. However, their offensive line ranks eighth in sack percentage, so they are able to keep a clean pocket for Driskel to at least make a decision. They’ll look to hold the Bears D-line at bay on Thanksgiving.
The Lions defense has really been the downfall of this team. They rank 26th in defensive DVOA, according to football outsiders, allow 5.9 yards per play. Despite their performance this season, they did hold Chicago to 226 yards of offense in their first matchup. Also, the Lions defense does have the edge over the Bears offense given how bad Mitch Trubisky has been this season. If Detroit can slow down a bad Bears offense, then they will be able to hang around on Thursday. Detroit does struggle to get to the quarterback, but they did have five sacks against the Bears in week 11. The Bears offensive line has been bad this season, so don’t be surprised if Detroit is able to get pressure on Trubisky.
Lions Depth Chart
Fantasy Pick: Allen Robinson
Allen Robinson seems to be the only receiver that consistently puts up numbers on the Bears offense. He ranks 19th in receivers this season, and has had over 24 points (ppr league) in three weeks this season. In his first game against Detroit he had six receptions for 86 yards, which anyone will take out of a number two receiver, or flex position player. Trubisky has looked somewhat better against the bad Lions and Giants defenses in recent weeks, so if the confidence is there on Thursday, expect Allen Robinson to benefit from all the targets.
Bonus Pick: Bears defense
I prefaced this in the Bears analysis, but their defense has only allowed 16.6 points per game in their last five. They have also forced four turnovers in their last three games. Chicago’s defense should come to play as they have still been a force for opponents to deal with. The Lions have still been averaging over 300 yards of offense with Stafford out, but don’t be surprised if the Bears defense puts a stop to that on Thanksgiving.