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The Chicago Bears (7-6) head to Lambeau Field to face the Green Bay Packers (10-3). This is a pivotal game in their historic rivalry. The Bears will look to continue their winning streak in hopes of securing a playoff spot. The Packers are hoping to end their rivals season with a win, and get one step closer to winning the NFC North. Both teams come in winning three of their last four games. In their week one matchup, Green Bay got the best of Chicago 10-3. For line movement and matchup history, visit the Chicago Bears and Green Bay Packers matchup page.
Date: Sunday, December 5, 2019
Time: 1:00 PM ET
Location: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, Wisconsin
Bears: WR Taylor Gabriel – Concussion (Q), WR Javon Wims – Knee (Q), TE Ben Braunecker – Concussion (Q), T Bobby Massie – Ankle (Q), DE Roy Robertson-Harris – Foot (Q), LB Roquan Smith – Pectoral (IR), LB Danny Trevathan – Elbow (Q), CB Prince Amukamara – Hamstring (Q)
Packers: CB Kevin King – Shoulder (Q), DB Tony Brown – Heel (Q), DT Montravius Adams – Illness (Q)
Chicago Bears Analysis
The Bears are riding high into Green Bay after win four of their last five games. This is giving Chicago confidence to make an insane run at the final playoff spot in the NFC. However, the journey isn’t going to be despite finding recent success. Their offense has looked a lot better in recent weeks thanks to better play calling from Matt Nagy, and quarterback play from Mitch Trubisky. In their last three games, Chicago is averaging 379 total yards of offense. In the 10 games prior, they averaged 263 yards of offense. Now, two of these games have come against the Giants and Lions, who have some of the worst defense in the NFL. The Cowboys defense is slightly better, and ranks 20th in DVOA, according the football outsiders, and the Packers defense ranks 22nd. This is a defense they can move the football on.
On defense, the Bears have lost linebacker Roquan Smith for the season with a torn pectoral muscle. However, they get Akiem Hicks back, which will be a huge boost to their defensive front. In the nine games Hicks has missed due to being on the IR, Chicago has allowed 100 yards rushing in six games. Green Bay is averaging 107 rushing yards per game, so this will be a big addition to slowing down the opponents run. Also, the biggest matchup will be how Chicago slows down Aaron Rodgers. He’s had their number since he came into the league, but the tides might be turning. According to Football Outsiders, the Packers passing game ranks fifth in the NFL, but rank 17th in yards per pass. Overall, this is an efficient offense, but the Bears are an efficient defense that ranks eighth in passing.
Bears Depth Chart
Green Bay Packers Analysis
Green Bay finds themselves sitting at 10-3 with a chance to knock their rival out of playoff contention. Their offense ranks seventh in efficiency, according to Football Outsiders, and is averaging 23.8 points per game. The Packers haven’t seen their best offensive performances in recent weeks. They have won three of their last five games, but their offense has underperformed in four of those five games. Also, turnovers have a been a huge part of the wins in these games. They have only turned the ball over twice in their last seven games. This is going to be a huge factor going up against a Chicago defense that hasn’t had the same success forcing turnovers like last season. Also, they will have to deal with Akiem Hicks as he comes off of injured reserve this week, and will be a huge boost to the Bears defensive line.
The Packers have forced 20 turnovers this season, which has been a huge part of their success. Efficiency hasn’t been there this season as their defense ranks 22nd in DVOA, according to Football Outsiders. The overall defensive success has not been there this season for the Packers. However, they rank 13th in points per game allowed, but also allow 368 yards of offense per game, and 5.9 yards per play. Teams can move the football on this defense. Now, if Green Bay is able to force a few turnovers against the Bears offense this week, they should take care of them at home. However, with the recent success Chicago’s offense has had, they will be able to move the football down field and put up points. If this happens, and turnovers aren’t created, this could be a tough game for the Packers to win.
Packers Depth Chart
Daily Fantasy: Allen Robinson
Allen Robinson has put up big numbers during the Bears recent offensive success. Robinson has averaged over 20 fantasy points in the last three weeks. Also, he should matchup well against the Packers secondary. Green Bay ranks 18th in pass defense, according to Football Outsiders. This is the best pass defense the Bears will see during their recent success, but even if Chicago’s offense isn’t humming like it has been the last few weeks, Trubisky always seems to find Robinson and put up decent numbers.