Chicago Bears vs. Indianapolis Colts (10/4/20): Betting Odds, Depth Charts, Live Stream (Watch Online)
The Chicago Bears are looking to keep their undefeated record going as they take on the Indianapolis Colts in week four of the 2020 NFL season. The Bears are coming off a dramatic fourth-quarter comeback win against the Atlanta Falcons and the Colts are coming off of a dominant 29 point win against the New York Jets. Both of these teams have had easy schedules for the most part through three weeks and will look to see their first test of solid competition in week four. For odds movement and full matchup history, visit the Chicago Bears vs. Indianapolis Colts Matchup Page.
Date: Sunday, October 4th , 2020
Time: 1:05 PM ET
Location: Soldier Field – Chicago, IL
TV Coverage: CBS
Bears vs. Colts Live Stream
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Chicago Bears: Tarik Cohen (IR, ACL tear), Sherrick McManis (questionable, hamstring)
Indianapolis Colts: Rock Ya-Sin (questionable, illness), Micharl Pittman (out, lower leg)
Chicago Bears Analysis
Last week the Chicago Bears overcame a 16 point deficit in the fourth quarter to win 30-26 against the Atlanta Falcons. After having less than a 1% chance of winning going into the fourth quarter, the Chicago Bears won in dramatic fashion to extend their undefeated record to 3-0. The biggest factor in their win was the substitution of quarterback Mitch Trubisky for newly added Nick Foles. Plus, the Chicago defense showed glimpses of their defense two years ago by putting pressure on Matt Ryan and causing him to throw an interception late in the game.
After another depressing outing for Mitch Trubisky, Matt Nagy had had enough with his play and decided to replace him with Nick Foles after Mitch threw a wide open interception in the third quarter. Finally, after all the anticipation of the possibilities for the Bears passing gane, we finally got to see what Nick Foles would look like on the Bears and it was magical. Despite throwing a controversially called interception in his first drive, Foles ended up throwing for 188 yards and three touchdowns to save the game. What does this mean for the future? Well, Foles of course was named the starter for the Bears next week against the Colts and we may be seeing a new Bears offense. Look for him to take charge of the Bears offense and lead the team to his hopeful second victory.
An interesting topic for the Bears this season, outside of their pass game, has been their run game. The Chicago Bears do not have a typical deep running back core as does the rest of the NFL. Now, after losing Tarik Cohen for the season due to an ACL tear, David Montgomery will have to lead the run game with Cordarrelle Patterson. Yes, wide receiver and kick returner Cordarrelle Patterson will be getting carries behind lead running back David Montgomery. The Bears are the only team left in the NFL without a rushing touchdown, even though they have been running the ball a significant amount compared to last season. Look for Montgomery to try to get into the end zone next week.
The Bears receiving core has been a little shocked recently with the drama behind Allen Robinson failing to receive a contract extension. However, Foles looked to improve his wide receivers, especially Robinson who had 10 catches for 123 yards and one touchdown. He has the fifth-most targets in the NFL right now and Foles looked to connect with him a lot last week. His presence along with newly added tight end Jimmy Graham are starting to make noise in the passing game.
The Bears defense finally looked alive last week when they played the Atlanta Falcons. The defensive line put a lot of pressure on Matt Ryan late in the game, and the corners were able to hold their own without Russell Gage nor Julio Jones in the game. The Colts have the third-fewest passing touchdowns this year and the Bears have allowed the second-fewest touchdown passes to their opponents. If the Bears can contain the Colts run game against their outstanding offensive line, they will have a good shot on extending their undefeated season.
Chicago Bears Depth Chart
QB: Mitchell Trubisky
RB1: David Montgomery
RB2: Tarik Cohen
WR1: Allen Robinson
WR2: Ted Ginn
WR3: Anthony Miller
TE: Trey Burton
Indianapolis Colts Analysis
The Indianapolis Colts are coming off of a win against the New York Jets in a dominating score of 36-7. Their defense this year has been outstanding as they are first in fewest opponent total yards and passing yards this season. They have averaged a mere 15 points per game to their opponents this season, which ranks second in the league. They will face a tough defense in week four with the Chicago Bears and their new offense behind Nick Foles.
Phillip Rivers has been having a solid statistical season so far for the Indianapolis Colts after having to adjust after their week one loss to the Jacksonville Jaguars. He is ranked first in the NFL with a 78.3% completion percentage and is 11th in the league with yards. However, he has only thrown for three touchdowns this season which is concerning for their offense. Last week their defense carried them with two interceptions returned for touchdowns, so Rivers did not have to do much work for their team to win. He will need to step up his performance against a tough Chicago defense.
The Colts’ most dangerous asset on offense is arguably their run game through Jonathan Taylor. He is top 10 in rushing attempts and top 20 in rushing yards this season. His offensive line carries makes the difference to let him show off his power and speed. He is consistent in helping his team in the red zone and has started to become involved in the passing game. He will look to lead the team against a Chicago rush defense that has struggled this season next week.
The Colts’ wide receiver core has been dealing with injuries from Parris Campbell, Jack Doyle, and Michael Pittman that have affected their ability to see passing touchdowns. They still have a deep core with T.Y Hilton, Mo Allie Cox, and Zach Pascal. They will need to be creative in spreading the ball to open up their run game.
The Colts have a solid chance to win this game on the road behind their solid defense and run game. Their best chance of winning this game is keeping their offense off the field and running the offense through their run game. The Colts are favored to win, but with the Bears’ new offense behind Nick Foles, they will need to find a way to contain them.
Indianapolis Colts Depth Chart
QB: Philip Rivers
RB1: Marlon Mack
RB2: Jonathan Taylor
WR1: T.Y. Hilton
WR2: Michael Pittman Jr.
WR3: Parris Campbell
Betting Corner Bears +3
Spread: Bears +3
Moneyline: Bears +130
Last week, I said to bet against the Bears because I thought they were due for a loss behind Mitch Trubisky. Now, with Nick Foles commanding the offense and the rebirth of the Bears’ defense, I do not think the Colts will stop them at home. Their unfavorable odds should be attractive to bettors because they have a good shot at winning.
I think this game will be a war between defenses and should direct bettors to go with the under in total points for this game. The Colts’ have allowed only 45 points this season through three weeks and even though their offense has put up a lot of points, the Bears will be a challenge on defense for them if they play how they did last week.
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Weekly Fantasy Picks
David Montgomery is due for a rushing touchdown and some fantasy explosion. He continues to get a large number of touches out of the backfield, and now with Tarik Cohen out due to injury, he may see an increase in touches.
Allen Robinson finally showed fantasy potential last week after catching ten passes for 123 yards and one touchdown. Foles definitely favors him and will continue to next week. He should continue to be a fantasy starter next week and going forward for as long as Foles continues to target him. Robinson may have found the solution to prove his fantasy value.
Jimmy Graham has the hot hand for the Bears’ receiving in fantasy football because of his dump off routes and red zone ability. The Bears will continue to use him and get him targets, making him a solid fantasy start for week four with Nick Foles in the backfield to support his value.
Jonathan Taylor continues to haul in many carries as the Colts’ workhorse running back. His fantasy value is high with the number of touches he receives and the production he brings from them. He is a worthwhile weekly starter going forward especially with his development in the passing game.
The Bears defense looked weak last week against deep threat receivers and could pose as an opportunity for T.Y Hilton. The Colts will most likely run the ball a lot against the Bears, but could find an unexpected long ball to T.Y Hilton next week. I think he is worth the flex play next week considering he will be heavily targeted without Parris Campbell nor possibly Jack Doyle in the starting receiving core.