Cleveland Browns Vs. Houston Texans NFL Player Props & Picks (1/13/24)

Get Cleveland Browns vs. Houston Texans player prop picks & odds for the (1/13/24) matchup

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Cleveland Browns vs. Houston Texans Player Prop Picks

Wild Card weekend kicks off on Saturday with an intriguing matchup between the Cleveland Browns and Houston Texans. In this article, I’ll offer some potential player prop options for this AFC contest. Be sure to use the player prop search tool above to make sure you’re getting the best odds for whichever prop you select. Check out the Lineups YouTube page for more player prop content for every Wild Card game. Let’s get to work.

David Njoku Over 53.5 Receiving Yards (-120 BetMGM)

When the Browns and Texans played earlier this season, it was the Amari Cooper show as he broke the franchise record with 265 receiving yards. David Njoku took a bit of a back seat in that game, but he still finished with six catches for 44 yards on nine targets. That was actually just his second time under this listed receiving yardage prop across his final eight games of the season.

Njoku was a favorite target of Joe Flacco down the stretch, averaging 78 yards per game in Flacco’s five starts. The Texans will likely need to devote more resources to slowing down Cooper in this game, which should open up one-on-one opportunities for Njoku. Houston allowed 57.4 receiving yards per game to tight ends, the fifth-most in the NFL, so this is a prime matchup for Njoku to have a big game.

Joe Flacco Longest Completion Over 37.5 Receiving Yards (-114 FanDuel)

The Browns struck gold with Joe Flacco coming off the couch to save their season at quarterback, and he’s been especially crushing as a deep ball passer. He’s averaging 17.3 yards per attempt on the deep ball per PFF, which ranks 5th out of 40 qualified quarterbacks. That matches up very nicely against the Texans, who have allowed the third-most deep passing yards in the NFL.

Flacco has gone over this longest completion prop in all five starts with the Browns, and most haven’t been particularly close – his longest pass in each of the last five game has been 42, 41, 57, 75, and 50 yards, respectively. His 9.5-yard aDOT ranks third among 45 qualified quarterbacks. Everything is setting up well for this prop to hit, and I love this as an alternate angle to what will assuredly be a popular play in Flacco’s passing yards over.

C.J. Stroud Over 0.5 Interceptions (-105 BetMGM)

The Texans’ rookie quarterback has been outstanding, particularly with avoiding turnovers – he has just five interceptions to 23 passing touchdowns this season. He’s due for some regression in that department, though, as he has 17 turnover-worthy plays (TWPs) this season, according to PFF. The TWP metric tracks throws that “should” become an interception, regardless of whether or not the defender is able to haul in the interception.

In Stroud’s playoff debut, he draws a brutal matchup against the Browns. Cleveland ranks first in the NFL in pass defense by both EPA and success rate, and defensive coordinator Jim Schwartz will give Stroud a ton of different looks to keep him off balance. Stroud will likely still have a productive game overall given he’s at home and has been excellent this season, but at nearly plus money to throw a pick, I love the value here in his playoff debut.

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