Corey Davis Fantasy Football Outlook & Value 2019

Time is ticking on Corey Davis moving up the ladder in this league. The Titans drafted another wideout, and also signed Adam Humphries. They will also get back Delanie Walker. Davis struggled with efficiency and his volume eventually carried him to at least respectable numbers. Taking a deep dive into Davis’ 2019 outlook, things do not look great.

2018 Fantasy Recap

Tier FPTS 2018 Rating GP SNPS/G TGT REC TGT/G YDS 100+ YDS YDS/REC TD Yahoo PTS/G
3 118.6 80 16 54.5 112 65 7 891 2 13.7 4 9.4

Corey Davis played all 16 games, which was a success given he had some injuries coming into the NFL. Home run threat wideouts have been tricky for teams to get right, and Davis hasn’t really delivered upon his hype. Davis had a sub 60% catch rate on 112 targets. He also doesn’t have a ton of touchdown upside, and we saw that with just four. Coming off his rookie season, he saw an increase in targets, but that could take a dip in 2019. Despite doubling his targets from his rookie year, Davis only jumped one full reception per game in 2018. The Titans offense has not been a fun one to ride in fantasy, and Davis could take a step backwards given the surrounding options coming in.

2019 Fantasy Outlook

Position Ranking ADP Auction Value Bye Week Receptions Receiving Yards Touchdowns
WR29 9.19 $15 11 67.3 879.3 4.4

As Adam Levitan says in the tweet, you can see the efficiency he had given the target share. This is not ideal given he couldn’t produce big fantasy numbers despite all the volume. The Titans did draft a wideout highly, and also paid Humphries a hefty amount of money. Tennessee also remains one of the heavier running teams in the league. His ceiling is about what he produced this season, and he could certainly slip out of even being a top 30-35 wideout.

I am not buying into Tennessee being a viable offense this year outside of the run game or some deeper value in the passing game. Davis would have to slip late for me to have any sort of interest. Davis is best viewed as a FLEX option, and shouldn’t be in the mix for your three wideout spots. There are better options. Given the weekly volatility, he is going to be used more as a bye week fill-in or on injury plagued fantasy teams.

Draft & Auction Value

There is not a ton of value in Corey Davis, and getting to the bottom of this article you can probably get my take already. Davis won’t make his way much onto my fantasy teams, other than being used as a fill-in or deep bench guy. His ADP should drop as the year goes on, especially once people begin to shy away from the passing game in general. For auction leagues, Davis is nothing more than a few bucks for me, and anything higher than $5 would be a stretch. Expect this number above to go down over the summer as well.

  
Jason Guilbault has been writing and podcasting in the fantasy sports world for over five years. You can find his work at Daily Fantasy Cafe. He is an avid Tottenham fan, and follows the Boston sports teams. When he isn’t diving into stats, he is enjoying the outdoors or down at the local brewery.

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