Predictions for Cubs vs. Mets: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – June 21

Friday’s contest that pits the Chicago Cubs (36-39) against the New York Mets (35-38) at Wrigley Field has a good chance to be a tight matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 4-3 in favor of the Cubs. First pitch is at 2:20 PM ET on June 21.

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Cubs vs. Mets Matchup Info

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Cubs vs. Mets Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Cubs 4, Mets 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 8 runs

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Cubs vs. Mets Betting Lines

Cubs vs Mets Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Cubs -155 +130 8 -104 -125

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Cubs Betting Insights

  • Chicago has come away with 18 wins in the 32 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season.
  • The Cubs have been a -155 moneyline favorite on 10 occasions this season and won every game.
  • Chicago’s games have gone over the total in 32 of 75 opportunities.
  • The Cubs had a 6-3 record across the nine games they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
  • In its past 15 outings — all had a set run total — Chicago and its opponents combined to hit the over on the total five times.

Mets Betting Insights

  • New York has been the underdog on the moneyline 35 total times this season. It has gone 15-20 in those games.
  • The Mets have a record of 4-4 in games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +130 or longer (50%).
  • New York has had an over/under set by oddsmakers 73 times, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total in 37 of those games (37-34-2).
  • The Mets have played as underdogs in six of their past 15 games and won four of those contests.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, New York and its opponents have combined to hit the over seven times.

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Cubs vs. Mets Probable Pitchers

Cubs’ Starting Pitcher: Shota Imanaga

  • The 30-year-old has an ERA of 1.89, a 7.09 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of .987 in 13 games this season.
  • Shota Imanaga’s team has won 90% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (9-1).
  • Imanaga’s team has an 11-2 record in his starts this season.
  • Games started by Imanaga have a 4-9-0 record at hitting the over this season.

Mets’ Starting Pitcher: José Quintana

  • In 14 games this season, the 35-year-old has put up an ERA of 4.98, with 6.2 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .264 against him.
  • The Mets have been the moneyline underdog in eight of Quintana’s starts this season, and they went 4-4 in those games.
  • Quintana’s team is 7-7 over his 14 starts.
  • Jose Quintana has had 14 starts that bookmakers set a total for this season, and four of those matchups finished over the total.

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Cubs’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 36-39
Home 21-16
Road 15-23
One-Run Games 14-17
Scoring 5+ Runs 24-7

Mets’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 35-38
Home 18-23
Road 17-15
One-Run Games 16-9
Scoring 5+ Runs 22-11

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