Predictions for Cubs vs. Mets: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – June 23

Sunday’s contest at Wrigley Field has the Chicago Cubs (37-40) taking on the New York Mets (36-39) at 7:10 PM ET (on June 23). Our computer prediction projects a narrow 5-4 victory for the Cubs, so it should be a tight matchup.

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Cubs vs. Mets Matchup Info

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Cubs vs. Mets Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Cubs 5, Mets 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs

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Cubs vs. Mets Betting Lines

Cubs vs Mets Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Cubs -115 -105 8.5 -105 -115

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Cubs Betting Insights

  • Chicago has been chosen as the favorite in 33 games this year, and has walked away with the win 18 times (54.5%) in those games.
  • This season, the Cubs have been victorious 16 times in 31 chances when named as a favorite of at least -115 or shorter on the moneyline.
  • Chicago and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 33 of 77 opportunities.
  • The Cubs had a 4-4 record in the eight games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 15 matchups.
  • Over its past 15 matchups (all 15 of them had set totals), Chicago and its opponents combined to hit the over four times.

Mets Betting Insights

  • New York has a 16-20 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 44.4% of those games).
  • The Mets have gone 15-17 in games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of -105 or longer (46.9%).
  • New York has played in 75 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total 38 times (38-35-2).
  • The Mets have played as underdogs in five of their past 15 games and won four of those contests.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, New York and its opponents are 6-8-1 in its past 15 games with a total.

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Cubs vs. Mets Probable Pitchers

Cubs’ Starting Pitcher: Javier Assad

  • The 26-year-old has an ERA of 2.75 and 9 strikeouts per nine innings, with a batting average against of .225 in 15 games this season.
  • When Javier Assad starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 1-3.
  • Assad’s team has won eight of his 15 starts this season.
  • In Assad’s 15 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over six times.

Mets’ Starting Pitcher: Luis Severino

  • In 14 games this season, the 30-year-old has put up a 3.52 ERA and 6.5 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .224 to his opponents.
  • The Mets were the moneyline underdog for three Luis Severino starts this season — they lost each time.
  • Over Severino’s 14 starts, his team is 7-7.
  • Severino has started 14 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in nine of them.

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Cubs’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 37-40
Home 22-17
Road 15-23
One-Run Games 14-17
Scoring 5+ Runs 25-7

Mets’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 36-39
Home 18-23
Road 18-16
One-Run Games 16-9
Scoring 5+ Runs 23-11

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