Predictions for Phillies vs. Cubs: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – July 4

Thursday’s game that pits the Philadelphia Phillies (57-29) against the Chicago Cubs (39-48) at Wrigley Field should be a competitive matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 5-4 in favor of the Phillies. Game time is at 2:20 PM ET on July 4.

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Phillies vs. Cubs Matchup Info

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Phillies vs. Cubs Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Cubs 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs

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Phillies vs. Cubs Betting Lines

Phillies vs Cubs Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Phillies -115 -105 7.5 -108 -112

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Phillies Betting Insights

  • Philadelphia has been the favorite in 72 games this season, and has come away with the win 50 times (69.4%) in those contests.
  • This year, the Phillies have won 47 of 69 games when listed as at least -115 or better on the moneyline.
  • Philadelphia and its opponents have gone over in 38 of 86 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Phillies were the moneyline favorite in 14 of their past 15 games, and they finished 9-5 in those matchups.
  • Over its past 15 outings (all 15 of them had set totals), Philadelphia and its opponents combined to go over the run total seven times.

Cubs Betting Insights

  • Chicago has won 42.2% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (19-26).
  • When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of -105 or longer, the Cubs have a record of 16-23 (41%).
  • Chicago has played in 87 games with an over/under set, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total 37 times (37-45-5).
  • In seven games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Cubs had a record of 2-5.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Chicago and its opponents have failed to hit the over eight times.

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Phillies vs. Cubs Probable Pitchers

Phillies’ Starting Pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez

  • The 27-year-old has pitched in 16 games this season with an ERA of 2.41, a 3.29 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.189.
  • When Cristopher Sanchez starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 8-7.
  • Sanchez’s team is 9-7 when he starts this season.
  • Out of Sanchez’s 16 starts with a total this season, seven have hit the over.

Cubs’ Starting Pitcher: Jameson Taillon

  • The 32-year-old has a 3.03 ERA and 7 strikeouts per nine innings over 13 games this season, while allowing a batting average of .258 to opposing batters.
  • The Cubs have a 3-4 record in Taillon’s seven starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Taillon’s team has a 6-7 record in his starts this season.
  • Taillon’s starts went over the run total five times in 13 games with a set total this season.

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Phillies’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 57-29
Home 33-14
Road 24-15
One-Run Games 13-10
Scoring 5+ Runs 40-5

Cubs’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 39-48
Home 22-20
Road 17-28
One-Run Games 14-19
Scoring 5+ Runs 27-7

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