Predictions for Cubs vs. Reds: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – May 31

Friday’s game features the Chicago Cubs (28-29) and the Cincinnati Reds (24-32) squaring off at Wrigley Field in what is expected to be a close matchup, with a projected 4-3 victory for the Cubs according to our computer prediction. First pitch is at 2:20 PM ET on May 31.

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Cubs vs. Reds Matchup Info

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Cubs vs. Reds Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Cubs 4, Reds 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs

Cubs vs. Reds Betting Lines

Cubs vs Reds Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Cubs -135 +114 8.5 -110 -110

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Cubs Betting Insights

  • Chicago has come away with 11 wins in the 20 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season.
  • This season, the Cubs have been victorious eight times in 10 chances when named as a favorite of at least -135 or shorter on the moneyline.
  • Chicago’s games have gone over the total in 25 of 57 opportunities.
  • The Cubs were the moneyline favorite in five of their past 15 games, and they went 1-4 in those matchups.
  • In its past 15 outings, Chicago and its opponents combined to hit the over seven times (all 15 of the games had set totals).

Reds Betting Insights

  • Cincinnati has been the moneyline underdog 33 total times this season. It has gone 13-20 in those games.
  • The Reds have gone 7-11 when they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +114 or longer (38.9%).
  • In the 56 games oddsmakers have set an over/under for Cincinnati, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 25 times (25-29-2).
  • The Reds have played as underdogs in 12 of their past 15 games and won six of those contests.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Cincinnati and its opponents are 5-10-0 when it comes to hitting the over.

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Cubs vs. Reds Probable Pitchers

Cubs’ Starting Pitcher: Javier Assad

  • The 26-year-old has pitched to a 2.17 ERA this season with 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 3.6 walks per nine across 11 games.
  • Javier Assad’s team is 1-1 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
  • Assad’s team has won seven of his 11 starts this season.
  • Out of Assad’s 11 starts with a total this season, three have hit the over.

Reds’ Starting Pitcher: Graham Ashcraft

  • In 10 games this season, the 26-year-old has a 4.67 ERA and 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .271 to opposing hitters.
  • The Reds have been the moneyline underdog in seven of Ashcraft’s starts this season, and they went 2-5 in those games.
  • Over Ashcraft’s 10 starts, his team is 4-6.
  • Ashcraft’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in seven of 10 games.

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Cubs’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 28-29
Home 15-11
Road 13-18
One-Run Games 10-11
Scoring 5+ Runs 18-6

Reds’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 24-32
Home 14-17
Road 10-15
One-Run Games 1-11
Scoring 5+ Runs 17-4

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