Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors 2/27/22: Starting Lineups, Matchup Preview, Betting Odds, Live Stream

Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Matchup Preview (2/27/22)

Luka Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks (35-25) travel to take on the Golden State Warriors (43-17) Sunday night. The Mavericks are a decent 3-2 over their last five games. Over those five games, they are 6th in Offensive Rating, but 19th in Defensive Rating. They are coming off a close 114-109 loss to the Utah Jazz on Friday. Luka produced 23 points, 7 rebounds, and 11 assists, but on 33.3 FG%. Trade deadline additions Spencer Dinwiddie and Davis Bertans shined off the bench, going for 20 points and 17 points, respectively. They were both hyper-efficient and combined to go 14/21 (66.7%) from the field and 8/12 (66.7%) from three. Starting center Dwight Powell hurt the Jazz in the paint to the tune of 22 points on 75 FG%. However, Donovan Mitchell led the Jazz to a win with 33 points on 7/12 (58.3%) from three. Marquese Chriss and Theo Pinson are game time decisions against the Warriors, while Tim Hardaway Jr continues his prolonged absence due to a foot injury. Hardaway Jr has missed the past 13 games, and he may be out for the rest of the regular season. 

The Warriors enter this contest fresh with two full days of rest. They are 2-4 in their last six games and will look to rebound against the Mavericks. In that stretch, the Warriors are 14th in Offensive Rating and 20th in Defensive Rating. On the bright side, the Warriors are coming off a 132-95 demolition over the depleted Portland Trail Blazers. The Warriors had eight players score 10+ points in an all-around effort. Stephen Curry didn’t score much (18 points), but he was efficient and controlled the game by facilitating (14 assists). Klay scored 18 points on 4/7 from three. Off the bench, Kuminga scored 17 points and Poole added 15 points. The encouraging note about Kuminga’s performance was his aggressiveness at the rim – he attempted 12 free throws and made 10 of them. For the Blazers, Simons scored 24 points on 50 FG%; however, he was the only Blazer capable of producing his own offense consistently.

Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Betting Odds

The Mavericks and Warriors have split the season series up to this point. The Mavericks won a sloppy game 99-82 on January 5th behind Luka’s 26 points, 7 rebounds, and 8 assists. The Warriors shot 5/28 (17.9%) from three, and Curry scored 14 points on 20.8 FG%. The Warriors retaliated on January 25th with a 130-92 blowout win. Kuminga paced the Warriors at 22 points on 8/9 from the field, while Doncic had 25 points, 8 rebounds, and 3 assists. In this third matchup, I normally would like the Warriors to narrowly escape with the win; however, Klay’s status is concerning. I think the Mavericks pull it out in a one possession game. It could go either way though because Luka and Curry are special talents. It’s unlikely that either team breaks 120 points since both defenses are solid. The Warriors and Mavericks have each topped 120 points only once in their last seven games.

TV Schedule

Date: 2/27/22
Time: 7:30 PM ET
Arena: Chase Center – San Francisco, CA
Channel: ESPN

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Dallas Mavericks Starting Lineup

PG: Luka Doncic
SG: Jalen Brunson
SF: Reggie Bullock
PF: Dorian Finney-Smith
C: Dwight Powell

Dallas Mavericks Analysis

Luka Doncic is the engine of their offense: scoring and playmaking runs through him. He had an off-night against the elite Jazz defense, but he is still averaging 34.8 PPG, 10.2 RPG, and 9.6 APG in nine February games. His shooting split in those nine games is 45/42/72. The Warriors know they must slow down Doncic, so sticking Gary Payton II on him makes sense. Payton II has been one of the best pick and roll ball handler defenders this season, which is Luka’s strength. Defensively, the Warriors can put Curry on Jalen Brunson and Klay on Reggie Bullock. The Mavericks should set picks frequently and attempt to get Payton II switched off of Luka. Curry’s defense on smaller guards is decent, but Luka is 6’7” and can easily drive past Curry. With no Draymond in the paint, Luka should feast in the paint off of drives. 

Defensively, the Mavericks can place Luka on Gary Payton II. Because Curry cannot win the game by himself, the Mavericks should neutralize the second and third best offensive options: Klay Thompson and Andrew Wiggins. Reggie Bullock has the length to bother Klay’s shot, and Finney-Smith can stick to Wiggins on the perimeter. Powell is not an elite defender, but Kevon Looney won’t give him any problems at all.

Golden State Warriors Starting Lineup

PG: Stephen Curry
SG: Klay Thompson
SF: Gary Payton II
PF: Andrew Wiggins
C: Kevon Looney

Golden State Warriors Analysis

The Warriors have the three point advantage in this one and must wield it. The game they lost to the Mavericks was because of their terrible perimeter shooting. Klay is heating up from deep with a 45.6 3PT% in his last seven games. Klay’s ability to shoot off of screens forces the defense to constantly think quickly and monitor him at all times. When he is firing on all cylinders, defenses must surrender clean looks to other players in order to try and dampen Klay’s flamethrower of a shot. The Warriors should try and switch Brunson onto Klay, and then set the screen to get Klay open. Brunson can get caught in screens, and Klay only needs a minute amount of space and time to get the shot off. 

Off the bench, Jordan Poole and Jonathan Kuminga are becoming a formidable duo. Poole can score off the dribble from anywhere, but he’s also comfortable taking a backseat and facilitating. Kuminga, meanwhile, is a transition weapon who also cuts to the basket at the right time in half court offense. 34.2% of Kuminga’s shots come from within three feet of the basket, and he’s shooting 75.5% on them. Dinwiddie is a weapon for the Mavericks bench, so Poole and Kuminga’s production is vital to winning the bench minutes. 

Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Daily Fantasy Picks

For this matchup, I like Luka, Curry, and Klay. Luka’s been transcendent, and the whole offense revolves around him. With Kristaps gone, he doesn’t have to forcibly manufacture touches for him; Luka is fully unleashed right now. For the Warriors, I expect the Splash Bros to rain threes all night. Curry has been facilitating recently, so a double-double is in his reach here. Klay finally looks comfortable on the court, and he’s been productive from deep. Curry and Klay should both get a ton of volume from three, and their shooting talent means a monster night could be in store for either. A sleeper pick is rookie Jonathan Kuminga, who has scored 10+ points in his last nine games. He’s only been getting 8 FGA per game in that stretch, but he’s hitting them at a 62.5% clip. Look for Kuminga to score 14+ points and chip in a few rebounds.