Denver Broncos vs. Dallas Cowboys Matchup Preview (11/7/21): Betting Odds, Depth Charts, Live Stream (Watch Online)
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Denver Broncos vs. Dallas Cowboys Matchup Preview (11/7/21)
Before the Broncos get ready for Sunday’s matchup with the Cowboys, they have to deal with some unfortunate news. Former Super Bowl MVP Von Miller was dealt to the Los Angeles Rams Monday morning.
The move means that the Broncos get two 2022 second-day draft picks, but the Rams are only taking on $700,000 of his $9.7 million salary. It’s a decent deal for both sides, but I’m curious to see if the Broncos have given up on their season.
It’s a fair question to ask, as the Broncos are now just 4-4 and are heading on the road to play the 6-1 Cowboys.
But Dallas has its own problems. At the time of this writing, Dak Prescott is still questionable with an ankle injury. Cooper Rush led Dallas to a big win on Sunday Night Football last week, but can he repeat the magic and move the Cowboys to 8-0 against the spread (ATS) on the season?
Denver Broncos vs. Dallas Cowboys Betting Odds
This line opened at Dallas -7.5 early Monday morning but was quickly bet up to -9, and even -9.5 at some books. This obviously gives a ton of respect to Dallas, who deserve it after covering in seven straight games to start the season.
However, it’s still questionable if Prescott will play this week. Mike McCarthy told reporters Monday that he expects Prescott to practice this week, in a limited capacity on Wednesday and then in a full capacity on Thursday. So, I would expect Prescott to suit up for this game.
However, there are two reasons I want to bet on Denver right now.
First: Prescott’s injury could mean the Cowboys are operating at a notch below their normal level. If he’s not 100%, he could struggle against a fairly dangerous Denver defense. 10 points is a lot in a lower-scoring game, especially one with a total below 50.
Second: If Prescott does get ruled out for Week 9, then this line will drop precipitously. So, I’m happy to grab a Denver +9.5 ticket right now, and I believe that will look really good if the Cowboys close at -5.5 with Rush under center.
Plus, none of this mentions that the public is heavily betting Dallas. At the time of this writing, the Cowboys are pulling in over 85% of the tickets. I don’t want to be on that side, and will happily heavily fade the public at a decent-sized number.
My Predictions: Broncos +9.5 (-107 at PointsBet)
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TV Schedule
Date: Sunday, November 7
Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
Location: AT&T Stadium
TV Coverage: FOX
Denver Broncos vs. Dallas Cowboys Live Stream
Where can you watch Broncos vs. Cowboys online? You can stream this game, and many other NFL games live online with Hulu. Hulu has a 7 Day free trial and is cheaper than cable options at $5.99/month. Watch Broncos vs. Cowboys Free Online Now.
Injuries
Denver Broncos: Malik Reed (Q), Albert Okwuegbunam (Q), Noah Fant (O)
Dallas Cowboys: Tyron Smith (O), Blake Jarwin (O), Amari Cooper (P), Ceedee Lamb (P)
Denver Broncos Analysis
The Denver defense is potentially dangerous, but they’ve seriously underperformed this season. The Broncos rank just 26th in Football Outsiders’ defensive DVOA, and they rank 14th in EPA per play allowed.
Plus, the loss of Von Miller is sure to hurt. He’s the highest-graded defender on the roster this season, per PFF, and leads the team in sacks and quarterback hurries.
However, trading Miller was probably the right, long-term move. He had posted just a 79.3 PFF grade in 2019 and an 85.6 so far this season, the two lowest grades of his career. He’s only getting older and is sure to wear down as his age progresses.
But in the short term, the Broncos are in trouble. They’re 4-4 with an underperforming defense and a middling offense. Teddy Bridgewater’s advanced statistics are good, but he hasn’t passed the eye test, and the rushing game hasn’t backed him up. Plus, how is anyone supposed to perform when the Broncos offensive line is 23rd in adjusted line yards?
Denver Broncos Depth Chart
QB: Teddy Bridgewater
RB1: Melvin Gordon III
RB2: Javonte Williams
RB3: Mike Boone
WR1: Courtland Sutton
WR2: Tim Patrick
TE1: Noah Fant
Dallas Cowboys Analysis
The Cowboys have looked awesome. The offense is clicking on all cylinders and the defense has played very timely football.
The loss of Prescott is immeasurable, but Cooper rush tossed for 325 yards in primetime and led Dallas to a road win. Even when Ezekiel Elliot and Tony Pollard could only muster up 75 yards and 3.5 yards per carry, Amari Cooper caught eight passes for 122 yards and a touchdown and Dallas forced their way to 20 points.
But that’s what the Cowboys do, they play complementary football. When the defense struggles, as they did against New England, the offense comes up huge. But when the offense loses their starting quarterback, the secondary holds Kirk Cousins to under 200 passing yards.
Dallas Cowboys Depth Chart
QB: Dak Prescott
RB1: Ezekiel Elliott
RB2: Tony Pollard
WR1: CeeDee Lamb
WR2: Amari Cooper
WR3: Cedrick Wilson
TE1: Dalton Schultz
TE2: Blake Jarwin
Denver Broncos vs. Dallas Cowboys Daily Fantasy Picks
For DFS lineups, I’d look back at Amari Cooper.
With Prescott out, Cooper pulled a season-high 31% Target Marketshare on his way to a dominant performance. On the season, he still has the second-highest Target Marketshare on the team, but I think he lines up as the #1 WR this Sunday.
That’s a very good thing, as the Broncos secondary ranks 31st in Passing Defense DVOA vs. #1 WRs.
Actually, the Broncos’ secondary hasn’t been good against anybody. They rank 20th in PFF’s coverage grades and 24th in passing defense DVOA. Any Cowboys WR will be a good pick this week, whether it’s Rush or Prescott under center.
But I believe Cooper is the best pick.
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