Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs Matchup Preview (12/5/21): Betting Odds, Depth Charts, Live Stream (Watch Online)
Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs Matchup Preview (12/5/21)
Only one game separates first and last place in the AFC West right now and by the time Sunday night’s game comes to a close either one of these teams could find themselves at the top. Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs have won 4 straight with wins over the Packers, Raiders, Giants, and Cowboys in that stretch. The Broncos, meanwhile, are entering the weekend off a commanding victory against the Los Angeles Chargers and wins in 3 of their last 4. The Chiefs have dominated this matchup as of late, winning 11 straight against the Broncos dating back to 2015. With the Raiders and Chargers both regressing over the last month, a home playoff game could very well be at stake in this one.
Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs Betting Odds
Broncos are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record
Broncos are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game
Broncos are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points
Chiefs are 6-16 ATS in their last 22 games overall
Chiefs are 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up win
Chiefs are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game
I couldn’t believe the spread was almost 10 points in this game until I went back and looked at Andy Reid’s record against the Broncos since he took over in Kansas City. Since Peyton Manning retired in 2016, Reid has not lost a single game against the Broncos, winning by an average margin of 13 points an outing. Reid is also one of the best Head Coaches in the NFL off a bye, having not lost a single game following a bye week since Mahomes was drafted. The convergence of these two trends along with the fact that this Chiefs defense appears to be improving each week, and I like the Chiefs to win, but not cover.
Denver’s secondary is good enough to slow down some of the Chief’s speed on the perimeter and Teddy Bridgewater gets rid of the football quick enough to mitigate some of the Chiefs’ pass rush. Overall, however, I trust Kansas City’s offense to score more when they need to in order to get the win.
My Prediction: Chiefs win 24-19, Broncos cover (+9.5) and under hits
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Date: Sunday, December, 5
Time: 8:20 PM ET
Location: Arrowhead Stadium — Kansas City, MO
TV Coverage: NBC
Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs Live Stream
Where can you watch Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs online? You can stream this game, and many other NFL games live online with Hulu. Hulu has a 7 Day free trial and is cheaper than cable options at $5.99/month. Watch Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs Free Online Now.
Denver Broncos: CB Bryce Callahan (Knee) O, OT Garett Bolles (COVID-19) O, SS Kareem Jackson (Neck) Q, DE Shelby Harris (Ankle) Q, ILB Josey Jewell (Torn Pectoral) O, OT Bobby Massie (Ankle) Q, CB Michael Ojemudia (Hamstring) Q, G Graham Glasgow (Ankle) O, WR KJ Hamler (Torn ACL) O, WR DaeSean Hamilton (Torn ACL) O
Kansas City Chiefs: CB Rashad Fenton (Hamstring) Q, RB Jerick McKinnon (Hamstring) Q, G Kyle Long (Leg) O, WR Jamire Jordan (Undisclosed) Q
Denver Broncos Analysis
To say this season has been an emotional rollercoaster for Broncos fans would be an understatement. After starting the year 3-0, the Broncos dropped 4 straight, only to bounce back with wins in 3 of their next 4 to arrive at 6-5 and tied for second place in the AFC West. Their scoring defense has been one of the best in the league this year, allowing only 17.8 points per game — a figure that trails only the Bills and the Patriots. Their secondary forces the second lowest completion percentage among opposing quarterbacks and they allow the 10th fewest yards through the air. They’ve struggled to get off the field on third down, however, ranking the fifth-to-last in third down conversion percentage.
Offensively, the Broncos rank 14th in rushing YPG and 21st in passing YPG. They rank sixth to last in the NFL in red zone conversion percentage, though they’ve had some success scoring late in games, averaging 7.7 points per fourth quarter. For all the talk about Vic Fangio being on the hot seat at the end of the season, he’s been able to expose flaws in the Cowboys secondary and Chargers passing game over the last 4 weeks to piece together two big underdog wins in games where the Broncos clearly had a talent disadvantage. Patrick Surtain II has emerged as one of the best young defensive talents at CB, and the Broncos are going to need him on Sunday to slow down the juggernaut that is the Chiefs receiving core.
Denver Broncos Depth Chart
Kansas City Chiefs Analysis
Andy Reid coming off a bye is like Wilt Chamberlain in the post — nearly unstoppable. Over the course of his career, he is 19-3 on bye weeks and that includes a couple years with below average quarterback play. Though this offense had one breakout game against the Raiders, they still haven’t truly found their footing. Instead, they’ve relied pretty heavily on their defense to lead the charge through the last couple weeks and into this 4 game win streak. In their last 4 games, the Chiefs defense has allowed an average of 11.8 points per game going up against some of the most potent offenses in the Raiders and Cowboys. Only the Patriots have allowed fewer points over that same span. They rank 4th in the NFL in second half points allowed at 9.1 per game, though the Broncos rank one spot above them, allowing only 8.3 points per second half.
As bad as Mahomes has looked at times, the Chiefs still rank 4th in the NFL in passing YPG and passing touchdowns. With Clyde Edwards-Helaire getting an opportunity to play consecutive weeks for the first time since week 5, this offense should show a level of versatility on Sunday they haven’t had in recent weeks. Currently, the Chiefs are tied with Tampa for the most pass attempts on the season. The Broncos are solid in all phases of the defense, and the Chiefs are going to need to be able to have success running the ball if they want to continue their win streak.
Kansas City Chiefs Depth Chart
Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs Fantasy Picks
Let’s give Javonte Williams some love. The running back has shown he can make plays on the ground and through the air, leading the Broncos in receiving yards as a running back last week. Over the last three weeks, he’s averaged 71 yards a game and, though improving, this Chiefs team is still weak on the right side of their defensive line. Expect Williams to get some targets and a few shots at some big plays. The RB is currently listed at $5,500 on DraftKings.