Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers Matchup Preview 10/14/19: Analysis, Depth Charts, Fantasy

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The Lions are heading to Green Bay to play the Packers in what is looking like a great primetime matchup. The Lions have been surprisingly impressive this year. They got their first loss of the season last week, when they almost beat the Chiefs last week despite being heavily unfavored. They also racked up two underdog wins against the Eagles and the Chargers in weeks 2 and 3. Matthew Stafford has been fantastic, and their defense has been incredibly strong. The Packers are a very similar story. Their defense has been performing fantastically so far this season, especially in the passing game. Aaron Jones was incredible last week, scoring 4 touchdowns against the Cowboys. Due to the strength of both of these secondaries, it’s looking like this will be a run-heavy game, and therefore the Packers are favored this Sunday. For more details and betting information on the Lions @ Packers matchup.

TV Schedule

Date: Monday, October 14th, 2019
Time: 5:15 PM
Location: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
Coverage: ESPN

Injury Report:

Lions: Mike Daniels (Q), Amani Oruwariye (Q)
Packers: Davante Adams (O), Tony Brown (Q), Darnell Savage (Q), Robert Tonyan (Q), Tramon Williams (Q)

Lions Analysis

Detroit LionsA lot of the Lions success this year has been due to their defense. While they’re toward the bottom of the league for yards allowed per game with 405.5, they’re second in the league for interceptions, with 7 on the season. They’re also fifth in the league for average passer rating, only allowing an average of 80.3 points, and an average completion percentage of 58.2%. This matchup is looking like it’s going to be a defensive battle, and the Lions are more than capable of holding down their end on defense. What’s yet to be seen is if their offense will be able to keep up with the Packers.

The main concern the Lions are facing this Monday is the strength of their running game. Kerryon Johnson had a big game against the Chiefs, taking his 26 carries 125 yards for an average of 4.8 yards per carry. However, besides that, he hasn’t been incredible. He has 251 yards on the season with an average of 3.4 yards per carry. He’s also scored one touchdown. With the strength of the Green Bay pass defense, this is looking like it’s going to be a run-heavy game. Putting up big numbers on the ground against the Chiefs isn’t exactly the hardest thing to do; they’re ranked 3rd for most rushing yards allowed per game, with an average of 155.8. While the Packers are ranked 7th with 138.2 per game, the Lions are a primarily passing offense. If it comes down to a good, old fashioned running game, the Lions are going to have a hard time keeping up with the yards and points Aaron Jones can put up. Through the air, the Lions have been playing pretty well. They’re ranked 7th in the league for average yards per game with 267.0. If they can break through the Packers secondary, they wont need to worry about their run game and Stafford can throw the team to a close game, and possible victory.

Detroit Lions Depth Chart

QB: Matthew Stafford
RB1: Kerryon Johnson
RB2: Paul Perkins
WR1: Marvin Jones
WR2: Kenny Golladay
WR3: Danny Amendola
TE: T.J. Hockenson

Packers Analysis

Green Bay PackersAaron Jones had a phenomenal game on Sunday. He carried the ball 19 times for 107 yards and four touchdowns. That’s an incredibly high level of efficiency for one night. Jones scored more touchdowns on Sunday night than the Miami Dolphins have scored over the entire season. He also caught the ball on 7 of his 8 targets for 75 receiving yards. The Lions are ranked 7 spots lower than the Cowboys are in rushing yards allowed per game, with 124.8. I’m not saying that rankings are a tell-all, and it’s possible that the Lions absolutely shut Jones down. However, what’s more likely is that Aaron Jones has another great game on Monday. He might not put up 4 touchdowns, but he’s most likely going to get a lot of carries and put up big yards. Things have been going well for the Packers on the passing side of the offense too. Rodgers has 1,221 passing yards on the year, and six touchdowns. Unfortunately, Davante Adams is out for Monday’s game with a toe injury. He is a huge part of the Packers passing offense, and it really showed against the Cowboys. If it wasn’t for Aaron Jones, the Packers most likely would have lost the game. Davante Adams is once again going to be missed in this matchup and the offense will have to try extra hard if they want to put up points through the air on Monday.

The Packers secondary has been playing pretty well this year, and is going to make it tough for Stafford to put up big numbers on Monday. They’ve been weak to the run, however, which is going to be an issue if Kerryon Johnson is going to be playing at the same level he was against the Chiefs. Overall, the Packers are still the favorites, but if they’re not careful against the Lions run game they could run into some serious problems.

Green Bay Packers Depth Chart

QB: Aaron Rodgers
RB1: Aaron Jones
RB2: Jamaal Williams
WR1: Davante Adams – Likely Not Playing
WR2: Marquez Valdes-Scantling
WR3: Geronimo Allison
TE: Jimmy Graham

Fantasy

aaron jonesAaron Jones is seeming like an obvious pickup after last week’s performance. It’s looking like this is going to be a run-heavy matchup, so expect Jones to get a lot of carries. As he proved last week against the Cowboys, he can be very efficient with the carries he gets, scoring 4 touchdowns off of 19 carries. I’m expecting him to have another big game against the Lions. Kerryon Johnson might be another good choice, considering the Packers aren’t the best defense when it comes to defending against the run. However, I think they’re going to have an easier time containing Kerryon Johnson than the Lions will containing Jones. I’m expecting this to be a run-heavy game, so I think Aaron Jones is going to be the best choice in this matchup. If you wanted to pick up a receiver, maybe look into Kenny Golladay, who had 2 touchdowns against the Chiefs.

  
I'm a student at UC Santa Barbara studying English. I've been watching football for almost my entire life. A couple of years ago, I started to really get into statistics and became a lot more interested in the NFL and have been really excited about it ever since.

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