Detroit Lions Vs. Dallas Cowboys Same Game Parlay Picks
On Saturday night, the Dallas Cowboys host the Detroit Lions in major need of a big-time bounce back after two straight road losses. In this battle between NFC contenders, the over/under of 52 points, which is one of the highest totals of the season. That sets up perfectly for a Same Game Parlay in what’s expected to be a primetime shootout.
Leg 1: Dak Prescott 300+ Passing Yards (+144)
The Cowboys are coming off two straight losses, but returning home, Dak Prescott should be in a great spot to get back on track. Prescott still leads the NFL with 34 big-time throws per PFF and has been the second-most efficient passer in the NFL by adjusted EPA/play. At home, he’s averaging a remarkable 8.5 yards per attempt.
The Lions’ pass defense has cratered, and they’re dead last against the pass by EPA since their Week 9 bye. Overall, Prescott has averaged 303.6 passing yards per game at home this season and has 300+ yards in four of his last five home games. The Lions allowed Nick Mullens to finish with 411 passing yards last week, so Prescott should have no problem getting to this number.
Leg 2: Brandin Cooks 50+ Receiving Yards (+120)
While much of the focus will be on CeeDee Lamb in this game, and rightfully so, I see it as a great opportunity for Brandin Cooks. If Prescott is passing for 300+ yards here, the ball will be spread around to different wide receivers, and Cooks has run 30+ routes in four straight weeks, so he’s been on the field plenty.
Cooks is averaging 67.2 receiving yards per game at home, and he should eat against a Lions defense that predominantly plays single-high coverage and will give him one-on-one opportunities downfield. The Lions have allowed the ninth-most receiving yards per game to wide receivers.
Leg 3: Jameson Williams 40+ Receiving Yards (+130)
Jameson Williams had about as difficult a start to his career as you can imagine between injuries and a lengthy suspension, but he seems to be finally getting on track. Over the last two weeks, he has seven and six targets, and he’s getting more variance in his routes instead of just running wind sprints.
Last week, Williams saw a season-high 51.9% of his snaps from the slot, and if that happens again, he’ll be in for a great night. Dallas slot corner Jourdan Lewis ranks 135th out of 136 corners in PFF coverage grades and has allowed a 70% catch rate. Overall, this game environment should support another strong showing from Williams.
Leg 4: Jahmyr Gibbs 60+ Rushing Yards (+124)
The Lions may have known what they were doing when they shocked everyone and drafted Jahmyr Gibbs in the first round. The rookie out of Alabama has been incredible, ranking second in explosive rush rate and ninth in missed tackles forced per attempt. He’s a big play waiting to happen, and those big plays should happen against Dallas.
The Cowboys rank dead last in rushing success rate allowed this season with the third-lowest stuff rate since Week 11. James Cook torched Dallas for 179 yards in Week 15, and Cook is a similar style of running back to Gibbs, so the upside is immense here. Gibbs has run for 60+ yards in four straight games and I don’t see him slowing down anytime soon.
Same Game Parlay Card For Detroit Lions Vs. Dallas Cowboys
- Dak Prescott 300+ Passing Yards (+144)
- Brandin Cooks 50+ Receiving Yards (+120)
- Jameson Williams 40+ Receiving Yards (+130)
- Jahmyr Gibbs 60+ Rushing Yards (+124)
Full SGP Odds: +1732 ($10 to win $173.27)