Predictions for Diamondbacks vs. Mets: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – May 30

Thursday’s contest features the New York Mets (22-33) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (25-30) clashing at Citi Field in what is expected to be a tight matchup, with a projected 6-5 win for the Mets according to our computer prediction. First pitch is at 7:10 PM ET on May 30.

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Diamondbacks vs. Mets Matchup Info

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Diamondbacks vs. Mets Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Mets 6, Diamondbacks 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 7 runs

Diamondbacks vs. Mets Betting Lines

Diamondbacks vs Mets Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Diamondbacks -125 +105 7 -112 -108

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Diamondbacks Betting Insights

  • Arizona has been chosen as the favorite in 25 games this year, and has walked away with the win 13 times (52%) in those games.
  • This season, the Diamondbacks have been victorious 10 times in 18 chances when named as a favorite of at least -125 or better on the moneyline.
  • Contests involving Arizona have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 22 of 55 chances this season.
  • The Diamondbacks played as the moneyline favorite in eight of their past 15 games, and they finished 4-4 in those matchups.
  • Over its past 15 outings (all had set totals), Arizona combined with its opponents to go over the total seven times.

Mets Betting Insights

  • New York has compiled a 10-18 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 35.7% of those games).
  • The Mets have a record of 7-9 when they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +105 or longer (43.8%).
  • New York has played in 55 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total 28 times (28-26-1).
  • The Mets have played as underdogs in nine of their past 15 games and went 2-7 in those contests.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, New York and its opponents are 9-5-1 in its past 15 games with a total.

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Diamondbacks vs. Mets Probable Pitchers

Diamondbacks’ Starting Pitcher: Zac Gallen

  • The 28-year-old has pitched to a 3.12 ERA this season with 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.3 walks per nine across 10 games.
  • Zac Gallen’s team is 3-5 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • Gallen’s team is 5-5 when he starts this season.
  • Games Gallen has started this season hit the over five times in 10 chances.

Mets’ Starting Pitcher: Christian Scott

  • The 24-year-old has a 3.97 ERA and 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings during four games this season, while giving up a batting average of .235 to opposing hitters.
  • The Mets were the underdog on the moneyline for two Christian Scott starts this season — they lost both.
  • Scott’s four starts have all ended in defeat for his team this season.
  • Scott’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in two of four games.

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Diamondbacks’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 25-30
Home 13-15
Road 12-15
One-Run Games 9-5
Scoring 5+ Runs 18-5

Mets’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 22-33
Home 11-19
Road 11-14
One-Run Games 9-8
Scoring 5+ Runs 12-10

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