Georgia Tech vs. Duke tips off this Saturday (01/13/24) at 5:00pm EST in Durham, NC as a home game for the Blue Devils. Get Georgia Tech vs. Duke predictions and best bets below as our best bet is on Duke’s team total over 81.5 as their offense is in a position to dominate a regressing Yellow Jacket defense.
Georgia Tech Vs. Duke Prediction
After losing to the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets in their earlier matchup this season, the Duke Blue Devils have gone on to win seven straight as they have started to figure out their offensive identity. With Jared McCain in the starting lineup, Duke now has more perimeter firepower which stretches out the defense in favor of their star big man Kyle Filipowski.
Filipowski has continued to be the focal point of the Duke offense and is in a position to dominate once again against the Yellow Jackets. Georgia Tech is surrendering a shockingly high 56.3% Effective Field Goal Percentage to opposing offenses in their last three games and ranks a lowly 146th in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency per Kenpom.
His low post sets should come with more singular coverage than what he has been accustomed to as Duke is starting to get into a rhythm from the outside. This is in large part of starting McCain to complement Jeremy Roach as both guards are shooting over 43% from deep. Georgia Tech has dipped in the last three games in opposing 3PT% by allowing teams to shoot 42.2% per TeamRankings.
Expect Georgia Tech to continue to struggle with their perimeter defense as they scramble to defend both Kyle Filipowski on the block as well as the shooters on the arc. They can’t leave Filipowski with singular coverage as he is an elite rim finisher and can back down the best of them, yet their doubles will create gaps on the outside for Roach and McCain to exploit. This will allow the Blue Devils to score at a consistent rate, giving value to their team total over.
Georgia Tech Vs. Duke Prediction: Duke’s Team Total Over 81.5
Georgia Tech Vs. Duke Best Odds
In a revenge spot for the Blue Devils, oddsmakers believe they comfortably get their revenge as they opened Duke as a -17.5 favorite. Bettors have yet to take a firm stand on either side of the spread, keeping the number the same since the opener. Duke’s spread is tempting yet may be worth it to see if the public comes in on the Yellow Jackets to get a more valuable number.
As for the total, points are expected to be scored at a moderate pace as oddsmakers opened the number at 146.5. Like the spread, bettors have yet to take a firm stand on either side of the total and have kept the number the same since the opener. The over is tempting yet Georgia Tech’s offense has mightily regressed and brings too much variance for their part to the total.
Georgia Tech Vs. Duke Key Matchups
Can Jeremy Roach continue to thrive in his efforts to get to the rim?
Jeremy Roach vs Georgia Tech Guards
Not only does Kyle Filipowski’s presence on the block open up gaps at the perimeter, but it also creates lanes to the rim for their guards to exploit. Jeremy Roach will be instrumental in backside cuts for Filipowski to hit, getting a high-quality look at the rim.
Jeremy Roach has been a reliable scorer for the Blue Devils so far this season, averaging 14.4 points per game while shooting 50.3% from the field. Should he get fouled on his way to the rim, he has been just as reliable from the charity stripe as he is average 85.7% from the line. Expect Roach to feed off of Filipowski, routinely finding himself in scoring position with his cuts to the gaps in coverage.
North Carolina Sports Betting Update
NC sports betting is currently legal, with operators set to formally launch in the coming months. Legislators have stated that they hope tp have sports beting up and running by the start of March Madness. Once sports betting is live, North Carolina residents will be able to wager on their favorite teams using new user bonuses such as a bet $1 get $365 in bonus bets from Bet365 North Carolina and a $1,000 first bet bonus from Caesars North Carolina.
For up-to-date North Carolina sports betting coverage — including the best new user promo codes — check out the “NC Sports Betting” tab on Lineups.
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