Georgia vs Mississippi State Odds, Picks, Predictions (11/12/22)

Georgia visits Mississippi State after winning very easily against Tennessee last week. Mississippi State is also coming off a very close win against Auburn too. This should be an interesting matchup for the pecking order of the SEC. Let’s take a look at the odds and make some picks and predictions for this game!

Georgia vs. Mississippi State Odds

Georgia is a 16-point road favorite against Mississippi State and is at -800 on the money line. The over/under is also at 53.5. Georgia being this big of a favorite makes sense because they’ve cemented themselves as the best team in the SEC and probably the country. The over/under makes sense because both these teams can score, but Georgia especially. Georgia’s defense has been great too, but oddsmakers are banking on a Georgia blow out, so it makes sense that the total is where it is. This spread probably won’t move much, and seems pretty set in stone before the game on Saturday.

Georgia vs. Mississippi State Prediction & Pick

The pick: Georgia -16

Georgia has been the best team this year, and cemented themselves last week against Tennessee even more as that team. The Georgia defense has been great as usual, but the offense has been the more surprising unit for them especially with Stetson Bennett still leading the charge at quarterback. The offense averages 40 points and 514 total yards a game so far on the year. The Mississippi State offense needs to be better than it has been, especially recently. They run a typical Mike Leach scheme with the air raid, pass-happy offense. The offense has been good, but not great. They average 33 points a game and 406 total yards, with 326 of those yards coming through the air. The difference will also be the fact that an underperforming Mississippi State offense is going up against a juggernaut of a unit in the Georgia defense. That defense gives up 11 points and 266 total yards on the year and just has been a very dominant unit overall. Take Georgia here, they are going to continue to roll on and into the College Football Playoff and it should keep on going against Mississippi State. The combination of Georgia’s offense and defense is just going to be too much for Mississippi State to handle, even if the game is going to be in Starkville.

Georgia vs. Mississippi State Key Matchups

Can Mississippi State contain Stetson Bennett? Can Georgia slow down Will Rogers?

Stetson Bennett vs the Mississippi State Secondary

Stetson Bennett was questioned a lot last year, until he helped lead Georgia to a National Championship. This year, he’s been a very good quarterback and has been a difference maker for the Georgia offense. He has 2,606 passing yards, 11 passing touchdowns, three interceptions, and he has a 68% completion percentage on the year too. He’s been very efficient too and just hasn’t made a lot of mistakes. The most passing yards he threw for was 368 against Oregon in the first game of the season. Mississippi State allows 210 passing yards a game, which is decent so Bennet might have a tough issue there. If Mississippi State can’t stop Bennett, then it’s going to be a long day in Starkville.

Will Rogers vs the Georgia Secondary

Will Rogers has been great in the air raid under Mike Leach throughout his career. This year he has, 2,912 passing yards, 26 passing touchdowns, six interceptions, and he has a 68% completion percentage on the year. The most passing yards he’s had in a game was against Memphis with 450 passing yards in Week 1. The most passing touchdowns he’s had in a game was six against Bowling Green. Georgia allows 179 passing yards a game and is one of the best passing defenses in the country. They also just sacked Tennessee six times last week too. If Will Rogers can’t get it going against Georgia, then it’s going to be very tough for them to do anything and the game will get out of hand pretty fast.