New York Giants vs. Washington Commanders kicks off this Sunday (11/19/23) at 1:00pm EST in Landover Maryland as a home game for the Commanders. Get New York Giants vs. Washington Commanders predictions and best bets below as our best bet is on the Commanders -2.5 as a Wong Teaser piece.
New York Giants vs. Washington Commanders Prediction & Best Bet
It’s the Tommy DeVito show as he has been named the starter heading into this contest. While he faces a far easier defensive test this time around than he did against the Cowboys, expect success to still come at a sluggish rate as his offensive line does him no favors. This has been a common theme for the Giants all season long, failing to generate any sort of downfield progression as their offensive line has been decimated by injuries.
It has gotten so bad that the Giants offensive line currently ranks 32nd in Adjusted Sack Rate and 31st in Adjusted Line Yards. They fail to push back from the opening snap, often resulting in a collapsing pocket at the expense of DeVito and Saquon Barkley. Without a clean pocket or gaps in the trenches for the run game to exploit, the offense has failed as a whole and ranks an abysmal 32nd in Rush DVOA and 26th in Pass DVOA. As of writing, their tackles Andrew Thomas and Evan Neal are listed as questionable.
Even with the Commanders front four losing Chase Young and Montez Sweat at the trade deadline, this defensive line is still capable of taking advantage of an injury riddled offensive line. DeVito has yet to prove himself as any sort of capable passer, most likely not being able to take advantage of a weak Commanders secondary who mightily struggles in coverage. Factor in a weak group of pass catchers who struggle to create separation and the Commanders defense should be in a position to at least slow down the Giants offense.
That bodes well for their own offense as they have carved out a successful identity as Sam Howell gets into a groove. Like the Giants, the Commanders also severely underwhelmed in the pass catching department, but Howell has used that to his advantage by opting into a heavier dose of dump offs to his running backs. This puts pressure on opposing linebacking units, struggling to know when to drop back or creep up in coverage. Once cheating up, this opens the door for Howell to sling one deep and flip the field into scoring territory.
New York Giants vs. Washington Commanders Prediction & Best Bet: Commanders -2.5 Wong Teaser Piece
New York Giants vs. Washington Commanders Betting Odds
In light of Tommy DeVito being announced the starter for this Sunday’s contest against the Commanders, oddsmakers pegged this as Washington’s game to lose by opening them as a -8 favorite. Bettors believe that number opened too low, backing Washington up to as high as -9.5. That number has since come back down, settling at -8.5 as of writing.
As for the total, points are expected to be scored at a snail’s pace as oddsmakers opened the number at 37. Bettors have yet to take a firm stand on either side of the total, keeping the number the same since the opener. The current number of 37 serves as a key football number, potentially dictating which side to play pending how this number moves.
New York Giants vs. Washington Commanders Key Injuries
The Giants injury woes continue into this Sunday as Saquon Barkley, Andrew Thomas, Evan Neal, and their whole coverage unit are all listed as questionable on the injury report.
New York Giants vs. Washington Commanders Key Matchups
Can Brian Robinson Jr get the ground game going against the Giants front seven?
Brian Robinson Jr Vs. Giants Front Seven
While Sam Howell and his rocket arm dominates the headlines when talking about the Commanders offense, it has actually been their ground game that has been the more consistent source of success. As of writing, Washington’s rush offense ranks eighth in Rush DVOA.
BRIAN ROBINSON JR. IS GONEEE pic.twitter.com/xxnwW1aUnC
— NFL Fantasy Football (@NFLFantasy) November 12, 2023
Brian Robinson Jr has been the main catalyst for this success and is in a position to continue to succeed as the Giants defense is brutally bad. The G-Men currently rank a lowly 30th in Def Rush DVOA, 23rd in Def Rush Success Rate, and 23rd in Def Rush EPA. They struggle to limit rush success at every level of the field and give the Commanders the chance to run a more balanced attack which puts pressure on an already injured Giants linebacking unit.