Get Giants vs. Commanders player prop picks & odds for the (11/19/23) matchup.
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New York Giants vs. Washington Commanders Player Prop Picks
Sam Howell Under 22.5 Completions (-114, FanDuel)
The Commanders have not been in many games that they’ve controlled, thanks largely to a disappointing defense. This week might be different. With Sam Howell and the offense playing pretty strong football, Washington has a chance to build an early lead and play safe the rest of the way against a Giants team that doesn’t have much in the tank offensively. That could mean more of the ground game than the Commanders typically use.
The best example of a game in which Washington took an early lead and spent the rest of the game trying to hold onto it was the team’s win over the Falcons, when Howell only attempted 23 passes. The Commanders’ defense is just weak enough that the Giants should sustain enough drives and prevent the ball from ending up back in Howell’s hands every few minutes, but it’s unlikely New York will stay close enough that Howell is forced to pass the ball often.
Tommy DeVito Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+700, FanDuel)
If there’s a risk worth taking, it might be a Tommy DeVito touchdown. The backup-to-the-backup ran for a touchdown in his debut, but opportunities have been tougher to come by over the last two weeks. The Giants’ sluggish offense should at least have some opportunities against a much softer Commanders defense, and it’s possible the safest play near the goal line for New York will be to let DeVito keep the ball.
DeVito ran for 41 yards on seven attempts last week, the Giants found much more success running the ball than passing it. With DeVito’s build, it’s certainly possible the Giants use him in goal-line situations. It’s just a matter of whether New York can get that kind of opportunity more than once or twice.
Jahan Dotson Under 3.5 Receptions (-130, FanDuel)
On a day in which the Commanders might not run as much of a pass-heavy offense as they have recently, Jahan Dotson isn’t a player to trust for production. His role became a major storyline after he was used sparingly earlier in the year, but 17 receptions over a three-game stretch brought Dotson right back to the forefront of the offense. With Curtis Samuel healthy in Week 10, however, Dotson was only targeted twice and had zero receptions.
With the Commanders set up to jump out to a lead and control the game by running the ball a bit more than usual — plus Dotson’s place in the offense uncertain — under 3.5 receptions seems like a pretty safe bet.
Terry McLaurin Most Receiving Yards (+240, FanDuel)
Even with the Giants facing a relatively soft Commanders defense, it’s hard to trust their passing game in any capacity. The unit produced well under 100 yards against the Cowboys, in a game that required passing just to try and catch up. That should narrow the search for the game’s leading receiver on Sunday to the Commanders’ weapons. With Jahan Dotson’s role uncertain and Logan Thomas rarely exceeding 50 yards, it’s not worth overthinking Terry McLaurin.
The Howell-to-McLaurin connection may not be exactly what fans were expecting, but McLaurin has posted between 60-90 yards in five of his last seven games and is consistently being targeted at least eight times a game. That should be enough for McLaurin to lead the way on Sunday, and +240 odds are a solid value.