Green Bay Packers vs. Atlanta Falcons (10/5/20): Betting Odds, Depth Charts, Live Stream (Watch Online)
The Green Bay Packers will take on the Atlanta Falcons in week four on Monday night football. The Packers are coming off an impressive 3-0 start after winning last week against the New Orleans Saints on Sunday night. The Falcons are surprisingly winless on the season and last week gave up a 16 point lead against the Chicago Bears at home for their third loss of the season. For odds movement and full matchup history, visit the Green Bay Packers vs. Atlanta Falcons Matchup Page.
Date: Sunday, October 5th, 2020
Time: 8:15 PM ET
Location: Lambeau Field – Green Bay, Wisconsin
TV Coverage: ESPN
Green Bay Packers vs. Atlanta Falcons Live Stream
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Green Bay Packers: Jordan Love (questionable, illness), Marcedes Lewis (questionable, knee), Za’Darious Smith (questionable, ankle), Allen Lazard (out, abdomen), Christian Kirksey (doubtful, pectoral), Josiah Deguara (questionable, shin), Devante Adams (questionable, hamstring), Kenny Clark (questionable, groin), Rashan Gary (questionable, ankle)
Atlanta Falcons: Marlon Davidson(questionable, knee), Russell Gage (probable, concussion), Calvin Ridley (questionable, ankle), Dante Fowler (questionable, ankle), Keanu Neal (questionable, hamstring),
Green Bay Packers Analysis
The Green Bay Packers are coming off of a hot start to the NFL with one of the few standing NFL records left at 3-0. Last week they had an impressive win over the New Orleans Saints where they were not favorited going into the game. The Packers have one of the best defenses in the league and are looking to make a Super Bowl run this season after losing in the NFC championship last season. They will continue the season on Monday night this week against the Atlanta Falcons.
After the Packers surprisingly drafted quarterback Jordan Love out of the last NFL draft, there were concerns about Aaron Rodgers’s thoughts on his situation as the pick seemed premature. He has continued to show how good he is this season and his ability to carry a team. He has the third-best QBR rating this season at 121.1, he ranks 6th in total yards, and has only been sacked twice. Rodgers has led a domination offense that has scored the most points per game, averaging an enormous 40 points per game, and that is second in total offensive yards. The best part about Rodgers is his ability to lead his offense and control the tempo to take control of the game. Rodgers should have a high scoring game against a defense that has allowed the most points to their opposing teams.
The second biggest factor to this successful Packer offense this season has been the star running back Aaron Jones. He has the second-most rushing yards behind Derrick Henry this season and has already added four touchdowns through three weeks. He is one of the most valuable running backs to have in the NFL and works really well with the success of the passing game. He will look to take advantage of the below-average defense of the Atlanta Falcons in week four.
One concern for the Packers thus far has been their injuries. Allen Lazard will be out next week and through week 10 at the earliest. Marcedes Lewis and Devante Adams are both questionable for Monday’s contest too. Without some of the Packers’ most valuable receivers, they will have to go to Aaron Jones more, but that should not be a problem with the offense. Also, considering that Rodgers is good at spreading the ball, they should still have a successful day of passing the ball.
The Packer defense has been holding their own while the offense produces more points than any other offense can record. Packer fans would like to see their defense hold their opponents to less than their average of 28.3 points per game, however, their offense has been comfortable with doing all of the heavy liftings. They have been good at containing their opponents’ total yards, something that Atlanta is good at doing through the air and the ground.
Green Bay Packers Depth Chart
QB: Aaron Rodgers
RB1: Aaron Jones
RB2: Jamaal Williams
WR1: Davante Adams
WR2: Marquez Valdes-Scantling
WR3: Allen Lazard
TE: Jace Sternberger
Atlanta Falcons Analysis
The Atlanta Falcons are one of the many teams that are surprisingly winless this season. Their defense has been their biggest struggle this season and they will need to step up their game to contain one of the best offenses in the league. The Falcons’ offense has been one of the highest-scoring and efficient in the league due to their extremely deep wide receiver core and solid run game. They look to grab their first win of the season against the Green Bay Packers in week four.
Matt Ryan has been a top-ten quarterback this season and ranks third in yards and fifth in pass attempts. The Falcons rely on Ryan to produce for their offense and he has met that expectation. Paired with arguably the deepest receiving core in the league, he is the leader of a very lethal weapon for their offense. They will need him to put up a healthy amount of points to try to outscore the Packers in week four.
Todd Gurley was a solid offseason addition for the Atlanta Falcons and has been solid for them to take attention away from the passing game. He has been averaging over 15 attempts per game and has reached the endzone twice this season. He is another big asset for the Falcons behind their solid offensive line and elite passing game.
The kryptonite for the Falcons has easily been their defense this season. They have offered no support to one of the biggest producing offenses in the league. The defense has let up the most points per game to their opponents, averaging a scary 36 points per game to their opponents this season. Paired against the highest-scoring offense in the league, they will need to make some adjustments to give themselves a chance in week four. They are the second most passed against defense in the league and the Packers will take advantage of their atrocious pass defense.
Atlanta Falcons Depth Chart
QB: Matt Ryan
RB1: Todd Gurley
RB2: Ito Smith
WR1: Julio Jones
WR2: Calvin Ridley
WR3: Russell Gage
TE: Hayden Hurst
Betting Corner Packers 7.5
Spread: Packers -7.5
Moneyline: Packers -315, Falcons +250
At first, I thought the Falcons could be an underdog to cover their spread in this game. However, on average the Packers have won by 12.3 points in each game this season. The Atlanta Falcons have given up the most points against opposing offenses and they will continue to on Monday against the highest producing offenses. The Packers should continue their undefeated streak and cover their spread in week four.
The over/under of 56.5, while high, is very doable for this game. The Packers have averaged 40 points per game and the Falcons have consistently put up 20+ points per game. I like the over for this game, even though the Falcons could struggle against the Packers’ defense.
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Fantasy Football Love/Hate Picks
Robert Tonyan has been on the rise in fantasy football but should have a solid fantasy outing in week four. The Packers are suffering many injuries to their wide receiver core, giving him the opportunity to see more targets against a poor Atlanta Falcons defense.
Russell Gage has been a surprising fantasy producer this season and I think he will continue to be in week four. Ridley and Jones usually draw the most attention from defenses, and he will continue to fly under the radar to score points.
Julio Jones has been suffering injuries as he usually does in seasons. His first week was really solid for him, but I think Ryan will need to spread the ball to his other receivers to win this game. Plus, his injury could keep him on a limited snap count in this contest. While he is most likely a must-start for fantasy owners, I would not bank on him to produce a lot in week four.