Green Bay Packers vs. Pittsburgh Steelers NFL Player Props & Picks (11/12/23)

Jordan Love and the Green Bsay Packers got back on track in Week 9, but the offense still faces more questions than answers. A matchup with the Pittsburgh Steelers won’t make things any easier for Green Bay. Let’s take a look at some of the best player prop bets from Sunday’s clash between the Packers and Steelers.

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Green Bay Packers vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Player Prop Picks

George Pickens Over 42.5 Receiving Yards (-114, FanDuel)

Everyone likes a good redemption story. George Pickens came away frustrated with his usage after finishing with -1 yards against the Titans last week. But every key figure has rallied around him this week, from Mike Tomlin to Kenny Pickett and Matt Canada. That they’ve responded positively to his frustration and even said, in Canada’s case, that Pickens needs to be more involved is a strong sign. Now it’s just up to Canada and Pickett to follow through.

The Steelers’ offense never moves smoothly, but Pickens is such a downfield threat that it might only take a catch or two to get past 42 yards. Pickens has four games with 75+ receiving yards this season, and while he’s been a boom-or-bust player, three consecutive bust weeks are unheard of for the second-year standout.

Pickens’ message has been heard loud and clear, and it would be no surprise if Pickett looks his way early against a decent Packers pass defense.

Kenny Pickett Zero Interceptions (-122, FanDuel)

Kenny Pickett hasn’t been very good this season, but he’s following the Zach Wilson method of playing just safe enough that he avoided turnovers altogether. Pickett has thrown just one interception in his last six starts, including none over his last four. It’s no surprise the Steelers have been winning over that stretch, for the most part, and Pickett knows not to be careless with the ball.

The Packers only have five interceptions this season, including one by a traded Rasul Douglas. Pickett knows this is a game the Steelers can win with methodical drives and defense. An interception isn’t impossible for any quarterback, but recent history indicates Pickett will be able to play a clean game on Sunday.

Aaron Jones Anytime Touchdown (+150, FanDuel)

As Jordan Love and the passing game continue to struggle, the Packers are starting to understand that a now-healthy Aaron Jones is their safest bet offensively. Jones received 24 touches against the Rams last week, including 20 rushing attempts, and he found the end zone for the first time since his two-touchdown Week 1 performance.

With Jones evidently back up to speed after missing time with an injury, it wouldn’t be surprising to see him used often against a Steelers defense that is allowing 4.5 yards per carry.

The Steelers have let up five rushing touchdowns through eight games, but what makes Jones such a valuable player is the fact he can find the end zone through the air as well. The Steelers’ defense is not to take risks against – expect Jones to be used frequently and have scoring opportunities.

Aaron Jones Most Rushing Yards (+155, FanDuel)

On that note…Jones’ hefty workload should set the stage for him to be the game’s leading rusher. Najee Harris and Jaylen Warren are coming close to a split of carries, and Warren’s efficient night against the Titans should only lead to more usage for him.

While Jones has A.J. Dillon in his backfield, there is no indication Dillon will heavily cut into Jones’ carries going forward. Even in what turned into a blowout victory, Jones had more than double Dillon’s rushing attempts last week. With Jones holding the clearest path to usage of any running back this week as he goes up against a run defense that has allowed 4.5 yards per carry, +155 is solid value for him to be the leading rusher.

What could get in the way is a sizable Packers deficit that forces Jordan Love to throw the ball often, but it’s unlikely the Steelers have enough in the tank offensively to pull ahead in that way.