Ja Morant was just ruled out for the rest of the season with a shoulder injury. Who will step up, if anyone, for the Memphis Grizzlies in the meantime? And which Dallas players will be able to exploit the shorthanded Grizzlies? See our Memphis Grizzlies vs. Dallas Mavericks player props and picks below for the answers!
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Memphis Grizzlies vs. Dallas Mavericks Player Prop Picks
Our favorite Memphis Grizzlies vs. Dallas Mavericks player prop picks are Desmond Bane to score 27 or more points against Dallas at -112 odds and Grant Williams to knock down two or more three-pointers at +145 odds.
Desmond Bane Over 26.5 Points (-112)
Desmond Bane is right back to being the No. 1 option in a below-average Grizzlies offense. But don’t let the Grizzlies’ struggles as a team deter you from backing Bane in this spot.
For one, Bane and the Grizzlies have played Dallas three times already this season, and he has scored 30, 30, and 28 points in those matchups on a ridiculous 60% shooting from the field and 46% from behind the arc; he has had no issues getting clean looks against this exploitable Mavericks defense.
Dallas has allowed opposing shooting guards to hit the sixth-most three-pointers and score the sixth-most points of any team in the NBA. Besides drawing Luka Doncic or Kyrie Irving as a likely primary defender, Bane also has the luxury of going against a Dallas frontcourt with no rim protection.
The Mavericks allow the third-highest field goal percentage to opponents inside of five feet, and Bane has become a prominent penetrator off the dribble. With Bane being a mostly below-the-rim finisher, this is a massive advantage for him.
There’s also an outside chance that Jaren Jackson Jr. sits for this game, as he is ruled questionable with a minor knee injury. We can definitely expect the Grizzlies to begin staggering some rest days with their stars, so if Bane is the only main offensive weapon on the floor, he will have the ultimate green light offensively.
Grant Williams Over 1.5 Threes (+145)
Have the sportsbooks not watched the past two Grizzlies versus Mavericks games? Grant Williams has hit three and four three-pointers on nine and eight attempts, respectively, in his last two games against the Grizzlies.
Williams has also hit the Over on this line in four of his past seven matchups against Memphis, which includes five games when he was on Boston and not getting many looks. The reasoning is simple: Jaren Jackson Jr. is a paint roamer.
Because Williams can stretch the floor at the three-point line, “Triple J” is often late to closeouts. It is not necessarily his fault, as head coach Taylor Jenkins has seemingly been fine with giving opponents relatively clean three-point looks all season long.
However, this all bodes well for Grant Williams. If you don’t believe us, here’s further evidence: the Grizzlies allow the second-most three-pointers to opposing power forwards of any team in the NBA.
The bottom line is that the volume (17 3PAs in his past two games against the Grizzlies) makes this bet irresistible. And his 38% clip from deep doesn’t hurt either.