Predictions for Guardians vs. Blue Jays: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – June 22

Saturday’s game at Progressive Field has the Cleveland Guardians (47-26) going head-to-head against the Toronto Blue Jays (35-40) at 4:10 PM. Our computer prediction projects a 4-3 win for the Guardians, who are a slight favorite based on our model.

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Guardians vs. Blue Jays Matchup Info

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Guardians vs. Blue Jays Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Guardians 4, Blue Jays 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 9 runs

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Guardians vs. Blue Jays Betting Lines

Guardians vs Blue Jays Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Guardians -143 +120 9 -108 -112

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Guardians Betting Insights

  • Cleveland has been chosen as the favorite in 48 games this year, and has walked away with the win 33 times (68.8%) in those games.
  • This year, the Guardians have won 12 of 19 games when listed as at least -143 or better on the moneyline.
  • Cleveland’s games have gone over the total in 35 of 73 opportunities.
  • The Guardians went 6-4 over the 10 games they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
  • Over its past 15 outings, Cleveland and its opponents combined to hit the over six times (all 15 of the games had set totals).

Blue Jays Betting Insights

  • Toronto has been the underdog on the moneyline 26 total times this season. It has gone 6-20 in those games.
  • The Blue Jays have a 5-5 record (winning 50% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +120 or longer.
  • Toronto has had an over/under set by oddsmakers 75 times, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total in 32 of those games (32-41-2).
  • The Blue Jays have played as underdogs four times in their past 15 games and lost each of those contests.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Toronto and its opponents have failed to hit the over 10 times.

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Guardians vs. Blue Jays Probable Pitchers

Guardians’ Starting Pitcher: Ben Lively

  • The 32-year-old has an ERA of 3.02 and 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings, with a batting average against of .239 in 11 games this season.
  • When Ben Lively starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 6-1.
  • Lively’s team has won seven of his 11 starts.
  • In Lively’s 11 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over three times.

Blue Jays’ Starting Pitcher: José Berríos

  • Over 15 games this season, the 30-year-old has put up a 3.13 ERA and 6.4 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .242 to opposing hitters.
  • The Blue Jays have a 3-3 record in Berrios’ six starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Berrios’ team has compiled a 10-5 record in his 15 starts.
  • Jose Berrios has had 15 starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and four of those games hit the over.

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Guardians’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 47-26
Home 24-9
Road 23-17
One-Run Games 11-9
Scoring 5+ Runs 34-6

Blue Jays’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 35-40
Home 18-19
Road 17-21
One-Run Games 8-12
Scoring 5+ Runs 27-3

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