Predictions for Guardians vs. Giants: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – July 7

Sunday’s game that pits the Cleveland Guardians (55-32) against the San Francisco Giants (44-46) at Progressive Field has a projected final score of 5-4 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of the Guardians, who are slightly favored in this matchup according to our model. Game time is at 1:40 PM on July 7.

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Guardians vs. Giants Matchup Info

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Guardians vs. Giants Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Guardians 5, Giants 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs

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Guardians vs. Giants Betting Lines

Guardians vs Giants Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Guardians -130 +110 8.5 -115 -105

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Guardians Betting Insights

  • Cleveland has won 39, or 68.4%, of the 57 contests it has been named as the odds-on favorite in this year.
  • This season, the Guardians have been victorious 26 times in 39 chances when named as a favorite of at least -130 or better on the moneyline.
  • Contests involving Cleveland have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 43 of 87 chances this season.
  • The Guardians had a 7-3 record across the 10 games they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
  • In its past 15 matchups — all had a set run total — Cleveland and its opponents combined to go over the total eight times.

Giants Betting Insights

  • San Francisco is 21-26 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 44.7% of those games).
  • The Giants have a 9-16 record (winning just 36% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +110 or longer.
  • San Francisco has combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 48 times this season for a 48-38-4 record against the over/under.
  • The Giants have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 15 games and won five of those contests.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, San Francisco and its opponents have combined to hit the over eight times.

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Guardians vs. Giants Probable Pitchers

Guardians’ Starting Pitcher: Carlos Carrasco

  • The 37-year-old has pitched in 15 games this season with a 5.21 ERA and 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .271.
  • When Carlos Carrasco starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 5-3.
  • In games Carrasco has started, his team is 6-9.
  • Games started by Carrasco have a 5-9-1 record at hitting the over this season.

Giants’ Starting Pitcher: Hayden Birdsong

  • Opposing hitters have a collective batting average of .278 against him this season. He has a 4.66 ERA and 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings over his two games.
  • The Giants were named the moneyline underdog for one Hayden Birdsong start this season — they won.
  • His team has won both of the matchups he’s made an appearance in this season.
  • Birdsong’s two starts with a total this season finished 0-1-1 against the total.

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Guardians’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 55-32
Home 29-11
Road 26-21
One-Run Games 15-10
Scoring 5+ Runs 41-6

Giants’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 44-46
Home 25-19
Road 19-27
One-Run Games 12-12
Scoring 5+ Runs 29-7

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