Predictions for Reds vs. Guardians: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – June 11

Tuesday’s contest that pits the Cincinnati Reds (32-34) against the Cleveland Guardians (42-22) at Great American Ball Park has a good chance to be a tight matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 4-3 in favor of the Reds. First pitch is at 7:10 PM ET on June 11.

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Reds vs. Guardians Matchup Info

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Reds vs. Guardians Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Reds 4, Guardians 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 9 runs

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Reds vs. Guardians Betting Lines

Reds vs Guardians Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Reds -115 -105 9 -110 -110

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Reds Betting Insights

  • Cincinnati has been chosen as the favorite in 28 games this year, and has walked away with the win 17 times (60.7%) in those games.
  • This season, the Reds have been victorious 17 times in 28 chances when named as a favorite of at least -115 or shorter on the moneyline.
  • Cincinnati and its opponents have gone over in 30 of 66 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Reds were the moneyline favorite in nine of their past 15 games, and they went 7-2 in those matchups.
  • Over its past 15 matchups, Cincinnati and its opponents combined to hit the over on the run total five times (all 15 games had set totals).

Guardians Betting Insights

  • Cleveland is 12-8 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 60% of those games).
  • When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of -105 or longer, the Guardians have a record of 11-8 (57.9%).
  • In the 64 games bookmakers have set an over/under for Cleveland, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 31 times (31-28-5).
  • The Guardians have been underdogs once in the past 15 games and won that contest.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Cleveland and its opponents are 7-5-3 when it comes to hitting the over.

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Reds vs. Guardians Probable Pitchers

Reds’ Starting Pitcher: Brent Suter

  • He has pitched in 26 games this season with an ERA of 3.86, a 3.5 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.257.
  • This will be Brent Suter’s first start this season with his team as the moneyline favorite.
  • Suter’s team is 2-0 when he starts this season.
  • In the two games with a total started by Suter this season, the teams hit the over once.

Guardians’ Starting Pitcher: Triston McKenzie

  • The 26-year-old has put up an ERA of 4.16, with 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings in 12 games this season. Opposing batters have a .230 batting average against him.
  • The Guardians were the moneyline underdog for two Triston McKenzie starts this season — they won both.
  • McKenzie’s team is 9-3 over his 12 starts.
  • McKenzie has had 12 starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and six of those games finished over the total.

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Reds’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 32-34
Home 17-18
Road 15-16
One-Run Games 4-11
Scoring 5+ Runs 22-5

Guardians’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 42-22
Home 21-8
Road 21-14
One-Run Games 11-8
Scoring 5+ Runs 30-4

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