Predictions for Guardians vs. Royals: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – June 4

Tuesday’s contest features the Cleveland Guardians (39-20) and the Kansas City Royals (36-25) squaring off at Progressive Field in what should be a competitive matchup, with a projected 5-4 win for the Guardians according to our computer prediction. Game time is at 6:40 PM ET on June 4.

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Guardians vs. Royals Matchup Info

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Guardians vs. Royals Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Guardians 5, Royals 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 8 runs

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Guardians vs. Royals Betting Lines

Guardians vs Royals Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Guardians -130 +110 8 -118 -102

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Guardians Betting Insights

  • Cleveland has been victorious in 27, or 69.2%, of the 39 contests it has been chosen as the favorite in this season.
  • This season, the Guardians have been victorious 17 times in 26 chances when named as a favorite of at least -130 or better on the moneyline.
  • Cleveland and its opponents have hit the over in 29 of 59 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Guardians had a 10-3 record in the 13 games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 15 matchups.
  • Over its past 15 matchups (all 15 of them had set totals), Cleveland and its opponents combined to go over the run total seven times.

Royals Betting Insights

  • Kansas City has been the underdog on the moneyline 35 total times this season. It has finished 18-17 in those games.
  • The Royals have gone 6-11 in games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +110 or longer (35.3%).
  • Kansas City has combined with opponents to go over the total 26 times this season for a 26-33-2 record against the over/under.
  • In seven games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Royals have a record of 3-4.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Kansas City and its opponents have combined to hit the over 10 times.

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Guardians vs. Royals Probable Pitchers

Guardians’ Starting Pitcher: Triston McKenzie

  • The 26-year-old has pitched in 11 games this season with an ERA of 3.77, a 1.59 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.378.
  • Triston McKenzie’s team has been victorious in 66.7% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 6-3.
  • McKenzie’s team has won eight of his 11 starts this season.
  • Games started by McKenzie have a 5-5-1 record at hitting the over this season.

Royals’ Starting Pitcher: Seth Lugo

  • In 12 games this season, the 34-year-old has amassed an ERA of 1.72, with 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .211 against him.
  • The Royals have been the moneyline underdog in six of Lugo’s starts this season, and they went 5-1 in those games.
  • Lugo’s team has a 9-3 record in his starts this season.
  • Seth Lugo has started 12 contests with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in four of them.

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Guardians’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 39-20
Home 20-7
Road 19-13
One-Run Games 11-6
Scoring 5+ Runs 27-4

Royals’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 36-25
Home 22-10
Road 14-15
One-Run Games 8-9
Scoring 5+ Runs 21-7

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