Houston Texans vs Kansas City Chiefs Matchup Preview (9/10/20): Betting Odds, Depth Charts, Live Stream
A rematch from last year’s incredible playoff matchup, Houston looks to make up for the blown 21-0 lead they gave up after the 1st quarter. Meanwhile, the reigning Super Bowl champion Chiefs are returning much of their Super Bowl roster and are looking to get off to a hot start at home to open the 2020 NFL Season. Deshaun Watson and the Texans’ ability to keep up with the explosive Patrick Mahomes lead Chiefs offense will be key in deciding who will win the NFL opener on Thursday Night Football.
Date: Thursday, September 10th, 2020
Time: 8:20 PM ET
Location: Arrowhead Stadium – Kansas City, Missouri
TV Coverage: NBC
Houston Texans vs Kansas City Chiefs Live Stream
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Kansas City Chiefs
The Super Bowl champion Kansas City Chiefs are returning almost all of their winning roster despite going into free agency with less than a thousand dollars of cap space. In fact, they were able to extend Patrick Mahomes to the largest contract in NFL history and secure Chris Jones for another 4 years. Once again proving that with the right management the cap is nothing but a myth. They also added collegiate superstar running back Clyde Edwards-Helaire in the 1st round of the draft.
Coming into this game with Houston I really see no way that the Texans are able to slow down the explosive Chiefs’ offense. Kelce, Hill, Watkins, and Hardman should all feast on the average Texans’ secondary. In their last playoff meeting despite going down 21-0 into the second quarter, the Chiefs left that game scoring 51 points. Four touchdowns were scored, three of which were thrown, in the second quarter alone. I really fail to see what will be different in this opening Thursday night matchup against the Texans.
Laurent Duvernay-Tardif, the great lineman for the Chiefs, is probably the only offensive piece missing due to the fact that he is opting out of the season to use his medical degree to help people in need during this pandemic. However, I am sure that Andy Reid’s creative play-calling can make up for this absence especially against this Texans’ defense.
On the other side of the ball, the Chiefs will only be missing Bashaud Breeland due to his four-game suspension. However, the keys to the defense in Chris Jones and Frank Clark will both be there to help slow down Deshaun Watson and the Texans’ offense. I do not expect Duke Johnson or David Johnson to get much going during this game due to that stout defensive line. It will be whether that dline can also pressure Watson enough to make up for the absence in the secondary that the Chiefs are dealing with.
Kansas City Chiefs Chart
Houston Texans Analysis
The Texans are coming off of a pretty horrid off-season and immediately having to go up against the defending Super Bowl champs and also the team who knocked them out of the playoffs in embarrassing fashion. Not only did the Texans lose DeAndre Hopkins and Javeon Clowney, but they are now stuck with David Johnson’s horrific contract and they also had no first-round pick to help shore up those holes. They did add Brandin Cooks to the offense, but another speedster like Will Fuller does not seem to be the answer.
However, even while missing Hopkins I expect this Texans team to be able to air out the ball on the Chiefs. This will really be their only shot at winning as I cannot foresee any situation where they are able to run on KC’s front with the mediocre running backs and offensive line they are currently rostering. Fuller, Cooks, Stills, and Cobb will be essential to their gameplan in this one as they try to keep up with a historically good offense.
When it comes to defense the Texans are simply middle of the road. It is going to be an extremely hard matchup against the Chiefs away from home and JJ Watt is going to need to play like his old self if they are to have any shot of winning this game. Watt in his prime could disrupt the QB every play and could blow up runs to his side of the field.
The Linebacking core of Zach Cunningham and Benardick McKinney alongside safety Justin Reid will be absolutely crucial to keeping Travis Kelce in check. They gave up 3 TDs to him in the second quarter last time they met, and that obviously cannot happen again. They will also have the responsibility of keeping elusive 1st round pick Clyde Edwards-Helair in check while he flys out of the backfield. It is safe to say that they will have their hands full in every facet of the game.
Houston Texans Depth Chart
Spread: Kansas City -10.5
Moneyline: Kansas City -450
Spread: Kansas City
Moneyline: Kansas City
The line has already taken an early lean towards KC after originally opening at -9.5. However, this is for good reason. This game has all the makings of being a shootout and when KC is in a shootout they often win and win big. Giving Mahomes license to just go make huge plays and not worry is often a death sentence for the opposing roster. It would take injuries or a complete collapse by the Houston offense for this game not to reach it is over.
I have KC winning the spread at -10.5 and the over with a final score of 35-24
Daily Fantasy Picks
Brandin Cooks is one of my favorite options this week if healthy. He is a great GPP play as I do not think he will be too widely owned. His price point comes in at $5,200 on DraftKings yet he very well could be the #1 for Deshaun Watson, a role that has extreme value in fantasy. Not to mention they will be up against the Chiefs and their high-tempo explosive offense. This game should produce plenty of scoring, and being able to possibly get a huge chunk of that scoring for 5,200 is a must-play. However, if he is limited or out for the game Will Fuller becomes an insane value for your full 16-game slate plays.
Sammy Watkins or Mecole Hardman are lottery ticket shots coming in at $4,600 and $4,200 respectively on Draftkings. I think that it would be a great idea to have two lineups with one in each of those lineups. Patrick Mahomes should flame this defense and currently, Watkins and Hardman are the 2/3 on the WR depth chart. There is an EXTREMELY high chance that one of the two scores a touchdown and puts up major points in fantasy. It is up to you to decide who you have a better feeling about.
David Johnson is coming in at $6,000 and I would not touch him with a ten-foot pole. The only way that I am playing DJ this week is in a $1 lottery ticket lineup since he should be almost 0% owned in DFS. He looked awful last year in Arizona and Houston is not much of an improvement when it comes to the offensive line. He might catch a few balls but I simply believe that David Johnson is done. He is an expensive play at RB this week with a horrible floor and a very “meh” upside.
Patrick Mahomes coming in at $7,400 is a hard call. I think that if you can build a lineup that you like he can be solid in cash plays. He always comes with an extremely high ceiling and his floor should not be too low that the $7,400 price tag completely ruins your lineup. For GPP I think that I would rather go with Watson for $500 cheaper and probably far less owned. I think that the entire offense will rely on Watson, while Mahomes may be able to hand the ball off to Clyde Edwards-Helaire and get the job done.