Indianapolis Colts at Kansas City Chiefs Matchup Preview 10/6/19: Analysis, Depth Charts, Betting Picks, Daily Fantasy

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It is a shame that the Colts are not a full strength for this one, even though the Chiefs would have been favorites either way. The Colts are going to come in with a heavy injury report that will dictate a lot. They are missing a lot of defensive pieces, and it was already going to be tough to stop the league’s best offense. As for the offensive, they will be trying to keep up, and might be down two of their bigger wide receivers. The Chiefs are double-digit home favorites, which comes at no surprise given the circumstances.  For odds line movement, and full matchup history, see the Indianapolis Colts at Kansas City Chiefs Matchup Page.

TV Schedule

Date: Sunday, October 6th, 2019
Time: 8:20 ET
Location: Arrowhead Field – Kansas City, MO
Coverage: NBC

Injury Report

Indianapolis Colts: Parris Campbell (O), TY Hilton (Q), Marlon Mack (Q), Malik Hooker (O), Darius Leonard (O)

Kansas City Chiefs: LeSean McCoy (P), Damien Williams (P), Tyreek Hill (O), Sammy Watkins (Q)

Indianapolis Colts Analysis

The 2-2 Colts will walk into Indianapolis as double-digit underdogs. The injury report is against them, so take this with a grain of salt. We can anticipate on Marlon Mack and T.Y. Hilton suiting up, but it is not a guarantee that they finish the game given the injuries. Parris Campbell is out, and they will be missing two top end defenders as well. Jacoby Brissett has been solid this season, throwing for 911 passing yards, and completing 65% of his passes. Marlon Mack has had a productive season rushing for 4.7 YPC and has over 300 rushing yards. However his lack of passing work makes him a lackluster PPR play if he doesn’t get the rushing production. Nyheim Hines has 16 targets this season, which is second to T.Y. Hilton. It has been a very spread out offense this season, with nobody over 20 targets outside of Hilton.

Indianapolis Colts Depth Chart

QB: Jacoby Brissett
RB1: Marlon Mack
RB2: Nyheim Hines
WR1: T.Y. Hilton
WR2: Zach Pascal
WR3: Chester Rogers
TE: Jack Doyle

Kansas City Chiefs Analysis

Just when you thought the Chiefs were going to get everyone back, the rug got pulled out too quick. Tyreek Hill was questionable this week, but is going to be out. Sammy Watkins also just hit the injury report. Mecole Hardman, Demarcus Robinson, and De’Anthony Thomas would be the receivers if Watkins can’t go. If Watkins plays, Thomas would bounce back out. Damien Williams is going to play this week, which means Darrell Williams will take a back seat after being fantasy viable the last two weeks. Both Damien Williams and LeSean McCoy should see quite a bit of the workload. When Williams was healthy, he saw 42 snaps per game. The passing game missed out on the touchdowns last week, but we can point towards the names above as big options this week. The Colts secondary is limited, which is a big problem on the road against the Chiefs.

Kansas City Chiefs Depth Chart

QB: Patrick Mahomes
RB1: Damien Williams
RB2: LeSean McCoy
WR1: Sammy Watkins
WR2: Mecole Hardman
WR3: Demarcus Robinson
TE: Travis Kelce

Betting Pick: Kansas City Chiefs -11.0

The Chiefs are back at home after a close game against the Lions. They remain undefeated and are heavy favorites against the Colts this week. At just an 11 point spread, this is a great buy. The Colts are without easily their best defenders, who are already ruled out for this week. We also are not sure about T.Y. Hilton, and if he can even play a full game due to the injured groin. Parris Campbell has been ruled out, and Marlon Mack had an ankle injury pop up over the week. This is a great spot to grab the Chiefs at home as 11 point favorites. Indy is in bad form due to injuries, and defensively it is hard to see them slowing them down. On the offensive side it is hard to see them playing keep up as well.

Daily Fantasy: A Chiefs Runaway Game

Kansas City is in a spot to put up 40, but that also doesn’t mean we can easily nail the fantasy plays here. Sammy Watkins just popped up on the injury report, and Damien Williams is returning to the RB committee. This can get tricky. Demarcus Robinson and Mecole Hardman are both shots to take given the home run upside, and would get a larger bump in work if Watkins was to sit. If Watkins play, this is a good week for him to get going again. He has been incredibly quiet since his Week 1 explosion. We at least know we can rely on Travis Kelce. As far as the rushing attack goes, I likely won’t mess with it if there are multiple games involved. Given this is the SNF game, you might be looking more showdown, where you can take shots on each of the backs. As for the Colts, health will be the deciding factor. Hilton is someone to look at now that he has returned to practice, but there is risk. Eric Ebron is in a good spot as the Chiefs have allowed a lot of production to tight ends.