Indianapolis Colts vs. Cleveland Browns Matchup Preview (10/11/20): Betting Odds, Depth Charts, Live Stream (Watch Online)
While Colts-Browns might not jump off the page to anyone outside of Cleveland or Indy, we have two 3-1 teams that have looked decent to start the season. The Browns are coming off a couple of tremendous offensive games while the Colts have defensively held it together while the offense has dealt with some injuries. This should be a close game until the end and can easily see it being a final drive type game. Both of these teams are not widely considered in the top tier of the AFC but are going to be playoff contenders after the start so far. Indy will head on the road where they have struggled at times but are slight favorites. Both teams come into this one with some injuries as Darius Leonard limped off the field last week and Nick Chubb hits the IR. Cleveland is in better shape to cover for the Chubb injury as they have Kareem Hunt. For odds movement and full matchup history, visit the Indianapolis Colts at Cleveland Browns Matchup Page.
Date: Sunday, October 11th, 2020
Time: 4:25 PM ET
Location: FirstEnergy Stadium, Cleveland, OH
TV Coverage: CBS
Colts vs. Browns Live Stream
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Indianapolis Colts: TJ Carrie (Q), Bobby Okereke (Q), Anthony Castonzo (Q), Rock Ya-Sin (Q), Darius Leonard (Q)
Cleveland Browns: Nick Chubb (O), Greedy Williams (Q), Tae Davis (Q), Adrian Clayborn (Q)
Indianapolis Colts Analysis
Now some of the Colts defensive numbers can be chalked up to the fact that they played the Jets and the Bears in the first two weeks. They have held opposing teams to just 14 points per game this season. They have scored 25.8 per game with some help of the defense, but overall the offense hasn’t been too impressive. Now losing Michael Pittman, Marlon Mack, and Parris Campbell won’t help, but they still have enough talent around Philip Rivers. He has yet to have a game where he needed to assert himself but this might be the week. Rivers is averaging 8.1 yards per game and has completed 72% of his passes so far this season. The three interceptions were costly at times. The receiving options were limited and Mo Alie-Cox has come alive as a big-time playmaker. he leads the team in yards and has two touchdowns. He has somewhat pushed aside Jack Doyle, who only has 61 yards through the three games that he played. Ty Hilton has also struggled to average 40 yards per game and has yet to find the end zone. However, he has drawn a few pass interference to give the Colts a big bump.
In Week 2 we saw Jonathan Taylor take on a heavy workload. This was after the Marlon Mack injury. He then began to give touches to Jordan Wilkins and Nyheim Hines moving forward and while Taylor isn’t quite in a committee there are some names chipping into the workload a bit. Taylor is averaging 3.8 yards per carry and it took a big hit against Chicago’s run defense. Wilkins has offered up is a change of pace back. Hines will continue to be more of a receiving back, but his workload and production have been very hit and miss this season.
Indianapolis Colts Depth Chart
Cleveland Browns Analysis
Cleveland has played very well in the first few weeks. Baker Mayfield has actually not been apart of the success as some might think if they have seen the Browns scoring big points. He has averaged less than 200 passing yards per game and completed just 62% of his passes. Now he has seven touchdowns but also had two picks that could have swung the game the other way. Odell Beckham has been producing at a high rate as he has a 16-236-3 line receiving but also has a 2-74-1 line on the ground. It is about time we see OBJ producing and the Browns dialing up plays for him to thrive. Jarvis Landry hasn’t found the end zone but has been more of that backup role we expected with the Browns running well and OBJ producing at a high rate. Now the big surprise might be Austin Hooper being under 100 receiving yards through the first four games. I would keep an eye on him over the next few weeks to make an impact.
Now the Browns defense hasn’t exactly played well allowing 31.5 points per game so far this time. They have allowed 1,200 passing yards so far and 12 passing touchdowns. Now a big chunk came last week but this Browns passing defense ranks 20th in DVOA but does rank 10th against the run. Opposing running backs have averaged just 3.9 yards per carry against the Browns this season. This will be a tough task against one of the best offensive lines and young rookie running backs in football.
Cleveland BrownsDepth Chart
Betting Corner: Colts -1.5
Spread: IND -1.5
Moneyline: IND -300 / CLE +250
Public money is leaning on the Browns heavily and the over is hitting heavy as well. I tend to agree with the Cleveland side because the injuries for the Colts continued over the weekend with Darius Leonard and Rock Ya-Sin leaving the game. The defense has been holding together although the Jets and Bears matchups certainly help. They will face an offense that has plenty of weapons and while Nick Chubb is going to be out, Kareem Hunt steps right in. Cleveland is 2-2 ATS this season and the over is 3-1. For the Colts they are 3-1 ATS and the over is 1-3. While the Colts at full health would be a team I look at, the Browns are playing well and should be able to put up more offense against this Colts defense compared to what they have seen over the prior few weeks and that puts pressure on the Colts offense that actually remains a question mark despite the 3-1 start.
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Daily Fantasy Picks
With the Colts injuries on the defensive side, it makes this spot even better for Kareem Hunt who is now going to be the starting back for the Browns. With Chubb out, Hunt is now in a featured role and one of the top running back plays of the week. Hunt projects for solid points this week although the price isn’t exactly a bargain because he has been performing still. The Colts have allowed 1.25 touchdowns per game to opposing receivers this season and Odell Beckham Jr is finally producing like older days. Jarvis Landry isn’t someone I am on much this week, but if you are building multiple lineups. On the Colts side of things, the running back committee makes it tricky because Jonathan Taylor is more expensive now. I plan on going with other backs this week. TY Hilton and Zach Pascal are in some good matchups this week but are reserved for tournaments only. The Browns have allowed 219 yards per game to wide receivers and two touchdowns per game. They also struggle against tight ends, allowing 16.3 per game, but the Colts tight ends are in a timeshare as well.