John Brown Fantasy Football Outlook & Value 2019

After spending four seasons with the Cardinals and then the 2018 season with the Ravens, John Brown signed on with the Bills in the offseason. Brown put together a solid season last year with the Ravens, although it was nothing to write home about. He put up 715 yards on 42 receptions. His 42 receptions had him at 88th in the NFL and his 715 yards had him at 48th. What was impressive, though, was that he averaged 17.0 yards per catch. We likely won’t see better production from Brown this year, as the Bills have a plethora of receivers at a similar skill-set and already aren’t a pass-heavy offense. Josh Allen just doesn’t seem to be there yet, and the addition of Frank Gore will likely lead to even more run opportunities.

The above video that ESPN tweeted out highlights Brown’s sheer athletic ability. On top of being good in the red-zone, Brown has also proved to be a deep threat, which could help the Bills and your fantasy numbers out immensely.

We currently have Brown slotted at WR45. I think this is a perfect place for him, as he’s a talented receiver but simply doesn’t get a lot of touches historically. That could be, in part, because of his 43.3% completion percentage last year with the Ravens. He’s hovered in that same range throughout his whole career, so I wouldn’t expect things to magically be different this year with the Bills.

Tier FPTS 2018 Rating GP SNPS/G TGT REC TGT/G YDS 100+ YDS YDS/REC TD Yahoo PTS/G
4 101.9 81 16 47.3 97 42 6.1 715 2 17 5 7.7

We have his average draft position set at 15.02. I definitely see that being a fair place to take Brown, as when you get around to picking this caliber of WR you’ll want to have filled out more of your star players. His auction value is $3. I see that being a gamble worth taking, as you never know whether or not he’ll piece together an astounding game here or there, and for just $3 there isn’t much on the line.

Buffalo BillsJohn Brown (and the Bills) have a very high upside on the season. This is due to the moves the Bills made in the offseason in the way of improving their arguably worst in the NFL offensive line form last year. We haven’t really seen what Josh Allen is capable of doing with full protection, so we could see the young QB improve his numbers drastically over the course of the year.

That being said, the floor for John Brown is pretty low. The Bills also picked up Cole Beasley in the offseason, so that could make Brown’s touches slightly more limited. If he already isn’t completing many of the passes that are presented to him, well, less attempts certainly won’t serve him well.

The Bills WR situation would make me weary of drafting Brown at all. A WR on the same caliber that I’d take instead of him is someone like Tyrell Williams of the Raiders.

  
After suffering a career ending injury as a high school freshman B-team quarterback, Emmett has completely devoted himself to sports fandom. A Chicago (suburb) native, he is loyal to all his teams. He is currently a junior at Chapman University in Southern California and thoroughly enjoys Microsoft Excel.

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