Josh Jacobs Fantasy Football Outlook & Value 2019

All of a sudden, the RB landscape looks very different in Oakland. A lot of things changed for the Raiders in the offseason, but this will mainly be about the 24th pick in the 2019 NFL Draft, Josh Jacobs. At 5’10”, 219 lbs and 21 years old, Josh Jacobs finds himself in the RB1 slot for the Raiders.

In the above clip tweeted out by NFL Total Access, LaDanian Tomlinson voices his opinion that Josh Jacobs will be the NFL offensive rookie of the year. John Gruden has utilized rookie RBs in the past. Just look at Cadillac Williams who saw an extraordinary amount of touches his first two years with Gruden. With the Raiders’ backfield being as barren as it is, there’s no reason to expect that Jacobs won’t get a massive volume of touches as the year goes on. He won’t feel like a rookie as he’ll be doing most of the heavy lifting for the Raiders’ ground game.

At Lineups, we currently have Jacobs slotted at RB21 just behind Kenyan Drake at RB20. We have Jacobs projected for 971.7 rushing yards on 227.3 attempts and 6.5 rushing TDs. This all feels extremely doable for the young RB, as he’ll be given chances to flourish in the Raiders offense.

Oakland RaidersThe exciting (but also scary) thing about a rookie RB is even with all the speculation surrounding him, we have no idea what exactly to expect. This means that his ceiling lies somewhere beyond the predictions for the year, and his floor is well beneath it. Based on some of his game tape from the University of Alabama, my gut tells me he’ll be a solid running back at the professional level. Unfortunately, my gut feeling isn’t a solid metric, so we’ll have to wait to see how things pan out as the season starts.

Jacobs has a current average draft position of 3.09. I feel like this is a fair assessment based on projections going into the season, but it still feels like a bit of a gamble. If you’re not wanting to chance such an important pick, someone like Kerryon Johnson who has an average draft position of 3.11 might be a good back to take. Jacobs’ auction value of $34 out of $200 also feels right on track with his projections, but it’s still a steep asking price for any rookie. Rookies come with uncertainty, and $34 isn’t necessarily a price one wants to pay for uncertainty. In that price range, Damien Williams of the Lions is a good guy to get, as he’s a little more solidified in the league and he’s also a dollar cheaper at $35.

After a long holdout after being drafted by the Raiders, Jacobs finally agreed to contract terms this week. There was speculation that he wouldn’t report to camp if the two parties couldn’t resolve a deal, but those concerns are now moot.

  
After suffering a career ending injury as a high school freshman B-team quarterback, Emmett has completely devoted himself to sports fandom. A Chicago (suburb) native, he is loyal to all his teams. He is currently a junior at Chapman University in Southern California and thoroughly enjoys Microsoft Excel.

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