Kansas City Chiefs vs. Denver Broncos Matchup Preview (10/25/20): Betting Odds, Depth Charts, Live Stream (Watch Online)
Kansas City proved last time out that they do not have to rely on Patrick Mahomes to win games. Clyde Edwards-Helaire rushed for over 150 yards, and the defense played great. However, with Drew Lock returning, Vic Fangio’s Broncos took down the Patriots in New England, and look to be vying for a playoff spot. It will be a showdown in The Mile High City, Broncos vs Chiefs this Sunday afternoon.
For odds movement and full matchup history, visit the Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos Matchup Page.
Date: Sunday, October 25th, 2020
Time: 4:25 PM ET
Location: Empower Field at Mile High – Denver, Colorado
TV Coverage: CBS
Chiefs vs. Broncos Live Stream
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Kansas City Chiefs:
Kansas City Chiefs Analysis
Patrick Mahomes and this Kansas City Chiefs team are winning games slightly differently than they did in years past. The offense, while still explosive, is slightly less potent, and the team seems to be leaning on the defense much more than they have in years past. Andy Reid and Eric Bieniemy will have their hands full scheming against Vic Fangio and his always stout defense.
The Bills tried extremely hard to take away the pass from Mahomes’ last game. However, he was still extremely efficient with his limited attempts going 21 for 26, 225 yards, and 2 TDs. I do not think that the Broncos have the secondary to take away the pass, like the Bills did, forcing the Chiefs to run. Fans should expect a huge day out of Kelce, Hill, Hardman, and Robinson. The speedy trio of WRs and always reliable TE will be able to get open. It is up to Mahomes’ offensive line to keep him clean in the pocket and allow him to hit targets downfield.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire had himself a day. With the Bills playing back, the Chiefs took advantage and ran the ball a ton. Clyde ended with 26 carries and 161 yards. Now, Le’Veon Bell gets thrown into the mix. The duo of Hunt and Chubb is the only other RB pair that can even touch the talent of Bell and CEH. I expect that the two will switch off regularly, and we might see Bell get the red zone work. However, I do not foresee them having too much to do in this game, as the Broncos’ weak spot is the secondary.
The Chiefs’ defense has been stellar this year. Returning much of the same team, they look to be a solid top 12 defense in the league. The Broncos will try hard to run the ball in this game; however, Chris Jones and Frank Clark have been more than pass rushers, they have been dominant stopping the run. If the Chiefs force Drew Lock into long passing downs, then I believe that this game ends in an easy victory for the Chiefs.
Brashaud Breeland will most likely get the coverage on breakout WR Tim Patrick, while the Honey Badger, Tyrann Mathieu, will be guarding Jerry Jeudy in the slot or on the outside. I think that these will be some fun matchups to watch, and if these CBs let the Chiefs down, then it may give some hope to the Broncos.
Kansas City Chiefs Depth Chart
Denver Broncos Analysis
This Broncos team, despite all the injuries, is 2-3. So much of this needs to be credited to Vic Fangio, somehow rallying a banged-up defense and limiting the Patriots to 12 points. Drew Lock did not have his best game, but this is one of the best secondaries in the league, and no one expected him to ball out. The defense won this Patriots game, and the offense did enough to keep the lead.
Drew Lock will have to take a massive step up in this matchup, as the Chiefs’ defense is on a roll and the KC offense will put up many more points. Jerry Jeudy has not really had that breakout game yet; however, his routes are still top-notch, his contested catching is beautiful, and he just needs more opportunity. I think that with Tim Patrick most likely drawing the #1 CB, Jeudy will be able to have an easier matchup. Lock needs to form this connection if they have any chance of winning this game. Meanwhile, DaeSean Hamilton had more drops and needs to be benched in favor of KJ Hamler, if he is healthy. This will push Jeudy back to his natural position outside and give the Broncos a real speed threat from the slot.
Melvin Gordon and Philip Lindsay will have their hands full. The Chiefs are a tough line to get past. These two will be relying on their offensive line to try and make some kind of space for them. I am sure that Pat Shurmur will be working on plays to get these two in open space, with screens or pitches because they need to have an impact if the Broncos are to stand a chance.
The defense will have the unimaginable task of trying to slow down the Chiefs’ offense. If there is one man on this planet that I trust to put his defense in a good position in this matchup, it is Vic Fangio. This game is all going to come down to how much pressure Bradley Chubb and that defensive front can get on Mahomes. With the injuries to the secondary, I just do not see a world where they cover these speedy WRs.
Denver Broncos Depth Chart
Betting Corner Chiefs -9.5
Moneyline: KC -420 | DEN +350
Spread: KC -9.5
I love Vic Fangio, I believe that I have made that clear. However, I do not think that the Broncos slow down the Chiefs enough in this game. I think that a surprise will be how well Drew Lock plays, and I am predicting that this will be the game Jerry Jeudy really announces himself to the NFL scene. However, at the end of the day, Lock will not put up enough points to keep up. I think that Mahomes will hit this defense deep early and often for explosive plays, and make this game somewhat of a cakewalk after the 1st half. The Broncos are a threat to backdoor cover, but I do not see it happening.
Kansas City wins this one on the road 27-17.
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Daily Fantasy Picks
All prices are from DraftKings classic games.
Tyreek Hill is massively underpriced this week at $6,400. Following a disappointing performance, I understand why he is not at the 7k+ range. However, against this defense, I am taking him all day long. The Chiefs will look to pass and not even try and run against this tough front, and Tyreek Hill will have no problem getting open. I can see him getting multiple huge plays, peppered with targets, and hopefully a couple of scores in this game. Throw Hill into a GPP or cash lineup this week and watch him perform.
Jerry Jeudy is not a steal at $5,100, but if you are in the same boat as I am, in believing that he will break out this game, then you can play him in GPP. Tournament plays are all about hitting those low-owned players that can finish the week near the top of their position. I think that you have one of those on your hands with Jeudy this week. Nobody is going to be playing him, and this is the kind of high-scoring game, with Drew Lock, that I think he can end up as a top WR on the week. A risky play to take home the cash.
KJ Hamler, who is participating in Wednesday practice, could be a massive value at $3,600. There is a ton of great expensive WR and RB plays this week. You need to save money somewhere, and if Hamler is healthy, then I say take the risk on him at $3,600. He brings speed that is unmatched in the NFL, and that means taking slants to the house, having end-arounds go for 40 yards, and in general being a threat on whatever limited touches he gets. In the last two games that he was healthy for he got 5 and 7 targets, so I do believe that he has a role in the offense. Another risky play that could have huge dividends.