Keenan Allen Fantasy Football Outlook & Value 2019

Keenan Allen has been a reliable fantasy wideout when healthy, and while he has a injury prone tag, it is a bit unfair. 2015 and 2016 was a year with injuries, but the other four seasons have been tremendous productive seasons. Allen isn’t quite in the same tier as some of the elite fantasy names, mainly because his touchdown production isn’t on par. However, he sees steady targets, and has had 97 and 102 reception seasons over the last two years. This PPR stud is one of the better bargains if you miss out on those first few wideouts. The Los Angeles Chargers offense has quite a few fantasy weapons primed for big years.

2018 Fantasy Recap

Tier FPTS 2018 Rating GP SNPS/G TGT REC TGT/G YDS 100+ YDS YDS/REC TD Yahoo PTS/G
1 163.1 92 16 49.6 137 97 8.6 1,196 3 12.3 6 13.2

Keenan Allen produced another strong season, going for a 97-1196-6 line. As mentioned above, Allen isn’t a big touchdown machine, which is his draw back when it comes to any sort of upside. His health has always been a talking point, but the last two seasons he hasn’t had any real issues in comparison to the 2015 and 2016 seasons. Allen finished as WR13 and was in the mix of other wideouts who are not huge touchdown producers. As long as you drafted Allen as a backend WR1 or even a WR2 depending on your strategy, you were happy with his production. Anything higher, Allen can come off as a disappointment. Allen was 11th in targets and 9th in receptions.

2019 Fantasy Outlook

Position Ranking ADP Auction Value Bye Week Receptions Receiving Yards Touchdowns
WR10 3.02 $30 12 96.9 1,217.1 6.5

Coming in as WR10 in terms of projections, we showcase how safe Allen is barring any sort of injury. Even with an emergence of Mike Williams and a healthy Hunter Henry, Allen is the WR1 in the offense and Philip Rivers continues to go to Allen. There is a small concern where Allen doesn’t hit that six projected touchdown mark and falls closer to four. Allen could finish inside the top ten, but could also end up closer to 20. There is quite a wide range of outcomes in terms of the overall finish, and that has nothing to do with Allen, just more the sounding options.

Allen had over a 70% catch rate, and was extremely productive out of the slot as most comparable wideouts are. Overall Allen still has value, but doesn’t come off as a wideout to circle on your draft boards just due to the lack of upside.

Draft & Auction Value

Keenan Allen is sitting there in the third round, and that could mean beginning or even towards the end. He is a low-end WR1, and I would want to pair some other upside wideouts with him. Allen is around some other wideouts in similar ADP, like Adam Thielen and Amari Cooper. Thielen is the guy I would want over Allen moving forward, but if there are limited wideouts with this consistency on the board, Allen is a fine grab. In auction leagues, Allen is a bit pricey. Spend the extra few dollars for wideouts with more touchdown upside. Also if you are for some reason not playing PPR, Allen has lesser value.

  
Jason Guilbault has been writing and podcasting in the fantasy sports world for over five years. You can find his work at Daily Fantasy Cafe. He is an avid Tottenham fan, and follows the Boston sports teams. When he isn’t diving into stats, he is enjoying the outdoors or down at the local brewery.

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