Sacramento Kings Vs. Philadelphia 76ers NBA Player Props & Picks (1/12/24)

Despite Joel Embiid being sidelined, there will still be plenty of action to see in this game between the Kings and the 76ers. Take a look at our team’s favorite Sacramento Kings vs. Philadelphia player props and picks below!

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Sacramento Kings vs. Philadelphia 76ers Player Prop Picks

We will be backing these player props for the Sacramento Kings vs. Philadelphia 76ers game tonight: Domantas Sabonis to record 22 or more rebounds and assists at +100 odds and Keegan Murray to score at least 17 or more points at -130 odds.

Domantas Sabonis Over 21.5 Rebounds + Assists (+100)

Surprise, surprise. The sportsbooks have juiced virtually all of Domantas Sabonis’ props ahead of an extremely favorable matchup with the Joel Embiid-less Philadelphia 76ers. Sabonis has been on an absolute tear recently, averaging 14.4 rebounds and 8.6 assists per game in his past nine outings; he has cleared this line in five of his past seven, too.

Further, in the two games that Sabonis failed to reach the Over on this line, he played fewer than 30 minutes, which we don’t see happening in this game unless it is a blowout. However, the sportsbooks have put out a near pick ’em line, so Domas’ minutes should not be an issue.

Sabonis’ rebounds are juiced right now, so adding in the assists helps us get back to a plus-money bet on what is still a reasonable line. As alluded to above, this matchup is perfect for Sabonis for several reasons.

First, with Embiid and Kenneth Lofton Jr. listed as out, the Sixers must lean on Paul Reed and Mo Bamba to defend, box out, and track Sabonis all night. That is not a fun job due to Sabonis’ motor and physicality; he is also heavily relied upon in the Kings’ offense, which means they can’t be disengaged for even a moment, or he will pick them apart.

Additionally, Philly’s track record this year without Embiid in the lineup has been suspect. The Sixers are merely 2-7 and have a defensive rebound percentage of 70.1%, which would place them dead last in the NBA if maintained over the entire year.

Obviously, nine games is a large enough sample size to prove that the defensive glass is a huge issue without Embiid. And that is an area where Sabonis excels, as he ranks eighth in the NBA in offensive rebounds per game.

Keegan Murray Over 16.5 Points (-130)

There is no escaping the juice on this line. We just have to drink it. Keegan Murray has been phenomenal in his past five games, clearing this line four times, with three of those instances qualifying as bonafide offensive explosions, at least relative to realistic expectations for him.

Murray’s 22.2 points per game on a 59/47/75 shooting split is something to marvel at, yet there is no indication that he is planning on slowing down, especially when you see some of his outings in the past month or so.

Like Sabonis, the only game that Murray failed to get to 17 or more points in that span was against the Pelicans, when he played only 26 minutes. In all of his other games in this stretch, he has been on the floor for between 32 and 46 minutes. We love to see that.

The Sixers have been giving up massive games to opposing power forwards in their past two games without Embiid, too, including to Jalen Johnson (25 points, 16 rebounds, seven assists) and Lauri Markkanen (33 points, 13 rebounds.)

With so much focus on Sabonis down low and Fox on the perimeter, don’t be surprised to see Keegan Murray get many clean looks throughout the game. His recent volume (15.2 FGAs per game in his past five outings) also indicates a steadily increasing offensive role.

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Drew is one of the NBA Lead Writers at Lineups.com, specializing in betting content such as game predictions and player props. With a deep knowledge of players and prospects, Drew has an extensive edge in covering everything NBA.

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