New York Knicks vs. Milwaukee Bucks NBA Player Props & Picks (11/3/23)
The New York Knicks face the Milwaukee Bucks this Friday (11/3/23). Get Knicks vs. Bucks player prop best bets below, including a search tool to optimize odds shopping.
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New York Knicks vs. Milwaukee Bucks Player Prop Picks
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Jalen Brunson Over 23.5 Points (-110 DK)
Milwaukee acquired All-NBA guard Damian Lillard, but they lost Jrue Holiday and Jevon Carter’s elite defense. The Bucks subsequently rank 29th in Defensive Rating, and opposing guards are carving them up with ease.
Jalen Brunson has struggled to start the year; he’s averaging 20.6 points per game on an atrocious 37.9 field goal percentage. However, Brunson is still creating advantages off the dribble at a high rate, and his volume is actually up from last season. Brunson’s shooting will regress to the mean eventually, which will cause his points to skyrocket. And despite Brunson’s efficiency woes, the star point guard has cleared 24 points in two of five games.
Based on his odds, Brunson must score 24 points about 52 percent of the time here. The ideal matchup should allow him to achieve this goal.
SGP: Jalen Brunson 15+ Points & Malik Beasley 2+ 3PM & Brook Lopez 1+ 3PM (-135 FD)
As stated above, Brunson should tear apart Milwaukee’s extremely poor guard defense. It would be shocking if he failed to hit 15 points.
New York is allowing the fourth most pace adjusted corner three-point attempts, which behooves Malik Beasley. The sharpshooter is at a scorching 46.2 three-point percentage on 6.5 attempts per game and leads Milwaukee in corner attempts. Beasley should see around six to eight overall attempts from three in this matchup, which would mean he only needs to shoot around 25 to 33 percent given the projected volume.
Finally, Knicks center Mitchell Robinson loves to sit back in the paint, which has resulted in opposing centers averaging the most made threes per game. Brook Lopez is a stretch center averaging 4.3 attempts from three, so the veteran can take advantage of Robinson’s defensive deficiencies.
This same game parlay needs to hit about 57 percent of the time.
Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 0.5 Blocks (-130 DK)
The Knicks rank third in drive field goal attempts per game and frequently shoot inside the arc. Because Milwaukee’s guards are allowing opponents to penetrate the paint with ease, the Bucks desperately need Antetokounmpo’s roaming skills to deter rim attempts. The 6’11” superstar remains a disruptive, lengthy defender who can swat shots; he owns a block in three of four games so far.
Antetokounmpo must notch a block about 56 percent of the time.
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