New York Knicks vs. Brooklyn Nets: Predictions, Starting Lineups (1/23/24)

It’s NBA Rivals Week, so the New York Knicks (26-17) take on the Brooklyn Nets (17-25) tonight (1/23/24). Get Knicks vs. Nets moneyline and spread odds, as well as predictions, starting lineups, injuries, and key matchups below.

New York Knicks vs. Brooklyn Nets Prediction

Brooklyn allows the third most points per game to point guards and has no answer for Jalen Brunson. Since the OG Anunoby trade – which improved the spacing – Brunson has averaged nearly 29 points on a quality 61 true shooting percentage. His pull-up ability will shred a Nets defense that gives up the seventh most midrange field goal attempts per game.

Opponents also average the sixth most open plus wide open three-point attempts per game against Brooklyn, which doesn’t bode well for them versus a Knicks squad that can shoot the ball. Brunson, DiVincenzo, Anunoby, Grimes, and McBride combine to shoot a 40.7 three-point percentage on about 24 attempts per game. New York’s success from deep likely inflates their total to a large degree.

Brooklyn’s best defender – Nic Claxton – will struggle to make an impact too. He will mark Jericho Sims and Precious Achiuwa, who have minimal offensive roles on this team.

Overall, the Knicks are rolling offensively and face an exploitable, below average Nets defense that ranks 19th in Defensive Rating.

New York Knicks vs. Brooklyn Nets Prediction: Knicks Over 113.5 Points (-108 FD)

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New York Knicks vs. Brooklyn Nets Best Odds

The Knicks enter this contest as four point favorites; they are 12-11-1 against the spread on the road. Brooklyn, on the other hand, owns a sparkling 12-6-2 record against the spread at home. For the Nets’ +145 to be profitable in the long run, they need to win here at least 41 percent of the time.

New York Knicks Starting Lineup

PG: Jalen Brunson
SG: Donte DiVincenzo
SF: OG Anunoby
PF: Julius Randle
C: Jericho Sims

Brooklyn Nets Starting Lineup

PG: Spencer Dinwiddie
SG: Mikal Bridges
SF: Cam Johnson
PF: Dorian Finney-Smith
C: Nic Claxton

New York Knicks vs. Brooklyn Nets Injuries

Mitchell Robinson and Isaiah Hartenstein will miss the contest for New York, while Brooklyn lacks Ben Simmons, Day’Ron Sharpe, and rookie Dariq Whitehead.

New York Knicks vs. Brooklyn Nets Key Matchups

Knicks 3PT Shooting

If the Knicks are going to hit the over, then it’s imperative that they have an efficient night from behind the arc. Given Brooklyn’s atrocious three-point defense, New York should achieve excellent shot quality in this matchup. Donte DiVincenzo and OG Anunoby in particular are crucial here.

Knicks Free Throws

Free throws produce a large expected points per possession, and the Knicks are ninth in free throw attempt rate. Brooklyn doesn’t foul much (11th in opponent free throw attempt rate), so this area is an X Factor for New York’s over. If Brunson and Randle can rack up trips to the line, then they have an excellent chance of scoring 114 points.

Braxton has been covering the NBA for Lineups since the 2022 season. He's worked with multiple collegiate coaching staffs regarding analytics and scouting, which has allowed him to understand the game on a deeper level. Braxton is also a contributor at Thunderous Intentions.

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