Los Angeles Lakers vs. San Antonio Spurs NBA Player Props & Picks Tonight (12/15/23)
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The Los Angeles Lakers travel to face the San Antonio Spurs this Friday (12/15/23). Get Lakers vs. Spurs player prop best bets below, including a search tool to optimize odds shopping.
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Los Angeles Lakers vs. San Antonio Spurs Player Prop Picks
Which players will dominate in the Lakers vs. Spurs game?
Anthony Davis 25+ Points (-130 FD) & 30+ Points (+190 FD) & 35+ Points (+500 FD)
It’s Anthony Davis points ladder day!
Both teams rank top ten in pace, so there will be plenty of possessions. Davis has cleared 25 points in six of his last seven games, and he has hit this mark in four of five games against teams that currently sit bottom ten in Defensive Rating (San Antonio is 24th).
The Spurs are allowing the 11th most field goal attempts within eight feet of the basket, as well as the 9th largest field goal percentage in this area (via NBA.com). Davis ranks third across the NBA in field goal attempts per game within eight feet of the basket, which bodes well for him here.
Opponents also produce 1.2 points per possession on put-backs against the Spurs, which is the third highest mark in the league. Davis averages the third most put-back field goal attempts per game.
Finally, San Antonio struggles in terms of defending without fouling, and Davis takes the 13th most free throw attempts per game. Overall, Anthony Davis is on a roll at the moment, and he faces a Spurs defense surrendering the third most points per game to centers. These teams just played on Wednesday, and Davis notched 37 points (although LeBron James did not play).
For the bets to be profitable in the long run, he needs to hit 25 points about 56 percent of the time, 30 points about 34 percent of the time, and 35 points about 16 percent of the time.
SGP (+168 DK): Victor Wembanyama Over 11.5 Rebounds & 3+ Blocks
San Antonio recently moved Wembanyama to center and benched Zach Collins, which has led to a box score explosion for the Rookie of the Year contender. Over the last three games since the switch, “Wemby” has recorded 20, 18, and 13 rebounds. His 23.7 rebound chances per game during that span would currently lead the NBA. The Lakers are allowing the 10th most rebounds per game to centers, and Wembanyama just snagged 13 boards against them on Wednesday. Look for the rookie to once again rack up rebounds here.
Meanwhile, he has produced 4, 5, and 6 blocks since being moved to center. The Lakers attempt the 4th most restricted area field goal attempts per game and the 2nd fewest three-pointers per game, so their shot profile predicts a strong day for Wembanyama’s block count.
Overall, Wembanyama has hit this same game parlay in all three games since the change to center, including a matchup versus Los Angeles. For this bet to have a positive expected value, it must hit here about 37 percent of the time.
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