Las Vegas Raiders vs. Kansas City Chiefs Matchup Preview (10/11/20): Betting Odds, Depth Charts, Live Stream (Watch Online)
The Kansas City Chiefs have started their campaign for back-to-back Super Bowl wins by going undefeated through 4 games. Mahomes looks as good as ever with his $400+ Million contract signed, and the defense has been superb. Meanwhile, the Raiders have had their ups and downs, but they look like a serious playoff contender through 4 games. Derek Carr and Jon Gruden are going to have to be on their A game to put up enough points to catch Mahomes.
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Date: Sunday, October 11th, 2020
Time: 1:05 PM ET
Location: Arrowhead Stadium – Kansas City, Missouri
TV Coverage: CBS
Raiders vs. Chiefs Live Stream
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Las Vegas Raiders:
Kansas City Chiefs:
Las Vegas Raiders Analysis
The Raiders had a rough time out against the Bills. Several little mistakes like an illegal formation penalty on a 60-yard touchdown are what really let them down against Buffalo. Derek Carr played a pretty good game considering that both of his electric rookie WRs were out of the game. The defense also played pretty decently but became undone after the Raiders turned the ball over in the second half.
Derek Carr is going to need Henry Ruggs and Bryan Edwards back for this game if they are to beat the Chiefs, in my opinion. While Nelson Aghlor has actually played extremely well, Edwards and Ruggs can both change the game deep down the field. This team is built to take deep shots to explosive players after sucking the defense in with chunk runs and dump-offs to Waller. I do not think that dinking and dunking the whole way down the field is going to work in this matchup.
Josh Jacobs had a disappointing performance by his standards against Buffalo. He only averaged 3.2 yards per carry and did not get too much going in the receiving game. He is going to need to be better against this Chiefs’ defense to allow Carr the deep shot opportunities that I was just talking about. The Chiefs can be beaten on the ground and we saw the Patriots run all over them only to be undone by horrible turnovers by the QB.
The defensive part of this matchup is what scares me for the Raiders. A lot of players, including Jonathan Abrams, are beaten up for this Raiders’ defense. It already is extremely hard to stop Patrick Mahomes and his ridiculous weapons, but when you are hurting and your starters are out, it almost seems like an impossible task. For me, it really will come down to the front 4 in this game. Stopping Clyde Edwards-Helaire from getting going, and getting pressure on Mahomes to help out your secondary against all the deep threats the Chiefs can throw at you will both be keys to the game.
Kansas City Chiefs Analysis
The Chiefs got a bit lucky Monday Night against the Patriots. Their offense was somewhat stumped for the second time this year, the first being against the Chargers, and it was horrible QB play from the Patriots that gifted the victory over to them. The Patriots shut down the Chiefs’ offense and were able to eat tons of clock with their trio of RBs. In this game against the Raiders, I do not foresee the Chiefs offense being a problem, but if the defense cannot stop the ground game again, then this game can be close.
Patrick Mahomes was gifted a couple of very generous calls by the officials, and was bailed out by the defense and their 4 turnovers. However, I do see this as a bounce-back game. Even when healthy, the Raiders’ secondary is not overtly scary to play against. However, they are not healthy and I believe that Hardman and Hill will terrorize this Raiders’ defense deep while Kelce and Watkins handle the underneath routes. Mahomes knows that he did not play well and with a chip on his shoulder he could have an insane game.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire had a somewhat quiet day as well against the Patriots’ stout defense. I expect Andy Reid to design a few more passing plays this game for the star rookie RB allowing him to get into space and make plays like we saw in the Ravens matchup. Attacking this secondary and LB core is a much better bet than the front 4, so operating on swing passes and screens could lead to a huge day for CEH.
Defensively, the Chiefs have stepped up this year. They are causing pressure and causing turnovers, even when missing their best player in Chris Jones. Their job this week will be to force the Raiders into obvious pass situations where they cannot be fooled by the play action or killed on the run by Jacobs. If that were to happen, then the secondary could once again feast on interceptions.
Betting Corner KC +12.5
Spread: KC +12.5
Moneyline: KC -715 | LV +550
Spread: LV -12.5
I think that this game will be a pretty easy victory for the Chiefs. However, two things are going to keep this game within that 12 point spread for the Raiders. The first is Josh Jacobs running the ball and getting just enough yardage to allow the Raiders to eat clock. The second is Darren Waller, no one seems to have found an answer for him. His 5-10 yard pass plays to keep drives alive and will force Mahomes to sit on the bench. If the Chiefs do stop those two, then the game could get ugly, but I do not foresee that happening.
Chiefs still win this one handley 28-20
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Daily Fantasy Picks
I do believe that Clyde Edwards-Helaire can be a trap play at $6,800. While the Vegas defense has given up the most points technically to the RB position, a majority of that came in the way of 27 CMC touches in Week 1, and a New England offense that basically only used RBs on the ground and through the air in their Week 3 matchup. I believe that KC will hone in on exposing the Raiders deep and through the air. CEH is still not a bad play at his price point, but he is no home run either.
Darren Waller at $5,900 is probably the best Raiders play. KC has been the #1 team against opposing WRs. However, their LB core is just alright. Now, Waller will most likely have some tougher assignments throughout this game. Maybe the Chiefs will put Tyrann Mathieu on him, but I believe that he can win that matchup. Waller will be blitzed with targets in a pass-heavy game script and should give you a big advantage over other players at the TE spot in a cash play.
Josh Jacobs at $6,300 is decently tempting. At $500 cheaper than Clyde Edwards-Helaire, he most likely will get more touches. It really comes down to what Jacobs can do with his touches to determine if this is an okay play or a great play. Jacobs will most likely be barely owned and that means if you believe in Jacobs to have a big game, then he can be a great play. If Gruden can find Jacobs some space in the open field through screens, or well-designed runs, then Jacobs easily becomes worth it at his price point.