LeSean McCoy Fantasy Football Outlook & Value 2019

Position Ranking– RB27, ADP– 8.10, Auction Value ($200)– $6, Team– BUF, Bye– 6

The Buffalo Bills quarterback situation last year was a mess. Josh Allen struggled in his first year as a pro while incumbent QB Nate Peterman threw one TD and 7 interceptions in 4 games. Overall, the offense was 30th in the league though they ranked 7th in rushing yards and 9th in rushing TDs. Their offense ran a three wide receiver set without a clear #1 receiver. The same went with the running game where LeSean McCoy took the helm at RB though Chris Ivory and Marcus Murphy also received touches.

FPTS 2018 GP ATT RU YDS YDS/ATT ATT/G 100+ YDS RU TD REC TGTS/G REC YDS REC TD Yahoo FPTS/G
93.2 14 161 514 3.2 11.5 1 3 34 3.3 238 0 7.87

Upside

McCoy led what amounted to be a fairly efficient running game for the Bills in 2018. Without a solid option at QB, Buffalo turned to their running game which saw McCoy and Ivory split time at the position. The two were options in both the running and passing game where McCoy led the way with 514 rushing yards and 3 TDs. While he isn’t the force he once was with the Philadelphia Eagles, he remains a very solid option at the position. He doesn’t have much upside anymore and shouldn’t command the same amount of draft capital as before. At best, he’s a 700 yard rusher with 6 TDs.

Floor

The 2019 Bills backfield will look very crowded this season with Frank Gore and TJ Yeldon joining McCoy. Whereas McCoy was the #1 back in the committee like system, it might be an even split this year with the trio. If that’s the case, McCoy might not get the same amount of touches as he did last year which would lead to diminished results. If this indeed a committee approach by Buffalo, McCoy could be in for a rough 400 yard year with only 3 TDs.

What to Expect

McCoy is currently ranked as the 27th running back off the board and holds an auction value of $6. He’s currently projected to have 8th round draft value. Though he’s being drafted as a likely RB4 or RB5, McCoy remains a very risky pick in this year’s fantasy drafts. While he was the top back in Buffalo’s backfield last year, he’ll face much more competition this time around. He’ll likely be the back to own in the Bill’s committee though there might not be too much fantasy appeal there.

McCoy is one the high end a RB3 but low end bench player. He should make a great fantasy asset and appears to be a solid pick in the 8th round. However, since he doesn’t have a clear starting job or the highest ceiling, I’d question drafting him over Jordan Howard or Latavius Murray. Howard should have first dibs in the Philadelphia backfield while Murray is replacing Mark Ingram in New Orleans and should put up a solid season as a #2 option.

In auction drafts, the $6 valuation on McCoy seems to be too good to pass up. Even if he doesn’t pan out, taking a $6 gamble on a potential starting back is a very nice pickup. McCoy might not be able to put together the old Shady McCoy campaigns, he’s got potential to be a solid RB3 or flex option on a weekly basis. I’ll peg him for a 500 rushing yard year with 5 TDs.

  
Originally from San Francisco, California, Justin Yeung has grown up as an avid Giants and Warriors fan, watching them both through the good and bad times. Currently, he is a junior attending the University of California, Irvine majoring in business economics and minoring in management. When he’s not in class, you’ll often find Justin at various sporting events and pursuing his goal of visiting all 30 Major League stadiums.

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