New York Liberty vs. Phoenix Mercury Prediction, Odds and Game Preview – May 29

The New York Liberty (4-2) play the Phoenix Mercury (3-3) on May 29, 2024 on CBS Sports Network, AZFamily, and Mercury Live.

If you are aiming to make an informed wager on Wednesday’s game, see the best bets available for this matchup, in this article (based on our computer predictions).

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Spread: Mercury (+14) to Cover

  • The spread for this matchup suggested by the model (10.1 points) is significantly less than the 14-point edge DraftKings gives to the Liberty, though the data still has them as the favorite. Put your money on the Mercury to cover.
  • The Mercury have a 3-3-0 record against the spread this year.
  • In games it has played as at least a 14-point underdog this season, Phoenix is 2-0 against the spread.
  • The Liberty have covered the spread once in six opportunities this season.
  • New York has not yet covered the spread as favorites of 14 points or more this season (0-1).

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Total: Under 172

  • In this matchup, the model projects a total (164.2 points) significantly lower than the DraftKings over/under (172 points). Bet on the under.
  • The Liberty and their opponent have not combined to score over 172 points, the current matchup’s point total, in any game this season.
  • Phoenix has played in three games this season (50% of opportunities) in which the teams combined to score more than 172 points.
  • Liberty games have hit the over in three out of six opportunities (50%).
  • The Mercury have hit the over in three of their six games with a set total (50%).

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Moneyline Winner: Liberty (-1111)

  • Prediction: Liberty 87, Mercury 77
  • New York has won four of the five games when it was a moneyline favorite this season (80%).

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Liberty Leaders

  • Breanna Stewart leads the Liberty in scoring and rebounding, putting up 19.5 points and 9.2 boards per game.
  • New York’s best passer is Courtney Vandersloot, who averages 5.5 assists per game to go with her 7.8 PPG scoring average.
  • Sabrina Ionescu makes more threes per game than any other member of the Liberty, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.0 per contest.
  • The New York leader in both steals and blocks is Stewart, who averages 2.7 takeaways and 1.7 rejections per game.

Mercury Leaders

  • Kahleah Copper is at the top of the Mercury scoring leaderboard with 25.5 points per game. She also pulls down 4.2 rebounds and dishes out 2.7 assists per game.
  • Natasha Mack puts up a stat line of 7.2 rebounds, 4.5 points and 3.2 assists per game for Phoenix to take the top rebound spot on the team. Natasha Cloud holds the top spot for assists with 7.8 per game, adding 10.7 points and 5.0 rebounds per contest.
  • Diana Taurasi hits 3.2 three-pointers per game, the most on the Mercury.
  • Phoenix’s leader in steals is Cloud with 2.0 per game, and its leader in blocks is Mack with 2.5 per game.

Mercury Injuries

Name Game Status Injury
Brittney Griner Out Toe

All stats in this article refer to the 2024 regular season.

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