Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Tampa Bay Rays Matchup Preview (10/20/20): Betting Odds, Starting Lineups, Daily Fantasy Picks

While it was a shortened season it is hard to argue against both of these teams making it to the World Series. Both teams were relatively consistent all season and both of their championship series went seven games. There is a ton of talent on both sides but these are two clubs built in completely different ways. The Dodgers have the second-highest payroll in baseball, while the Rays have the third-lowest. For those wondering why this game is being played in Texas, it is because they had bubble cities over the last few rounds of the playoffs. Each team will send a top-two arm for their respective teams this season as Clayton Kershaw squares off against Tyler Glasnow. Kershaw is scheduled to face a slew of right-handed bats while Glasnow will have to battle what is arguably the best lineup in the league. Not a huge surprise to see the Dodgers as Game 1 favorites and a low run total in this one with the two arms on the hill. For odds movement and full matchup history, visit the Los Angeles Dodgers vs Tampa Bay Rays Matchup Page.

TV Schedule

Date: Tuesday, October 20th, 2020
Time: 8:09 PM ET
Location: Globe Life Field – Arlington, TX
TV Coverage: FOX

Dodgers Starting Lineup

  1. Mookie Betts (R) RF
  2. Corey Seager (L) SS
  3. Justin Turner (R) 3B
  4. Max Muncy (L) 1B
  5. Will Smith (R) C
  6. Cody Bellinger (L) CF
  7. A.J. Pollock (R) LF
  8. Joc Pederson (L) DH
  9. Chris Taylor (R) 2B
  10. Clayton Kershaw (L) SP

Dodgers Analysis

los angeles dodgersClayton Kershaw is on the mound and he has a 2.81 ERA and 27% strikeout rate dating back to last season. He will face a right-handed heavy Rays lineup, who have a team .347 wOBA and .217 ISO off lefties this season. However, they strike out at a 28% clip. While Kershaw isn’t the dominant strikeout arm he once was, he will have a free-swinging Rays team he can put in check. There are a few bats to watch out for like Randy Arozarena, Yandy Diaz, Mike Brosseau, and Brandon Lowe.

They all hit lefties incredibly well and with great power. As for the offense, they will have a tough task facing Tyler Glasnow. The Dodgers have the luxury of a deep lineup that can make him work but the bullpen won’t make it easier. Mookie Betts and Corey Seager will have to make some noise early, and if they can make him work, we have seen him unravel at times.

Rays Starting Lineup

  1. Randy Arozarena (R) LF
  2. Mike Brosseau (R) 2B
  3. Hunter Renfroe (R) 3B
  4. Yandy Diaz (R) 1B
  5. Brandon Lowe (L) L
  6. Willy Adames (R) SS
  7. Kevin Kiermaier (L) CF
  8. Mike Zunino (R) C
  9. Manuel Margot (R) RF
  10. Tyler Glasnow (R) SP

Rays Analysis

tampa bay raysTampa was a top ten offense this season and also ranked top ten in defensive numbers as well. They had the third-lowest ERA as a team, just a half a run behind the Dodgers themselves. Both these teams are evenly matched even though the Dodgers have the name value. Tyler Glasnow has a 35% strikeout rate dating back to last season and while he has lowered his walk rate since joining Tampa, it still flares up every now and then. The Dodgers offense is obviously a very good one, and have a .355 wOBA and .240 ISO as a team off right-handed pitching this season. They don’t strike out a ton either.

There really is no weak spot in the order for Glasnow but putting the bottom half of the lineup down is going to be key. Getting Betts and Seager up with men on base will not end well. Tampa has big bats of their own and none hotter than Arozarena right now. Tampa could play the long ball here as they have several bats with over a .250 ISO against southpaws over the past two seasons.

Dodgers Vs Rays Daily Fantasy Angle

We can start with the red hot Randy Arozarena who has absolutely demolished everything in these playoffs. He is a strong right-handed bat with all the upside in the world. With Clayton Kershaw on the hill, the Rays are going to roll out some right-handed bats like Yandy Diaz and Mike Brosseau. Both have some pop against southpaws, with over a .250 ISO dating back to last season. Hunter Renfroe is a boom or bust guy given he has a 28% strikeout rate against southpaws but a .366 ISO is well worth the risk. Despite Brandon Lowe being a lefty, he has a .368 wOBA and .276 ISO off left-handed pitching dating back to last season.

Tyler Glasnow can be a little wild at times and does allow the long ball. IN his career he has a 10.8% walk rate and 1.29 HR/9. In his career, he has been pretty even against both sides of the plate, but right-handers have had more home run potential. Left-handers have a tough time elevating Glasnow’s pitches. Mookie Betts, Justin Turner, and Will Smith all have big power off right-handed pitching, but the lefties still have so much upside especially if they get to the Rays pen early and take on a righty. Seager has also been red hot for the last two months.

Dodgers Vs Rays Betting Odds

Dodgers Odds: -169
Rays Odds: +155
Over/Under: 7.5

Looking at this year the Dodgers were the stronger team against the spread, going 43-29. The Rays were 38-36. The under was favorable for both sides, but an interesting note is that the Rays went just 11-10 against left-handed starters this season. The 7.5 run total I am somewhat tempted to hit the over on. Clayton Kershaw will face a solid right-handed heavy lineup and just isn’t the clean dominating pitcher he used to be. I wouldn’t be surprised to see the Rays chip in 2-3 run off him and the same goes for the Dodgers off Glasnow. He also has those games where he can’t find control. Both teams have a decent bullpen, although the Rays are in far better shape. Los Angeles has had its ups and downs. Public money is fairly split on the teams for Game 1, and the over is slightly less favorable to the public.

Bet on This Game

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Jason Guilbault has been writing and podcasting in the fantasy sports world for over five years. You can find his work at Daily Fantasy Cafe. He is an avid Tottenham fan, and follows the Boston sports teams. When he isn’t diving into stats, he is enjoying the outdoors or down at the local brewery.

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