Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Tampa Bay Rays Matchup Preview (10/21/20): Betting Odds, Starting Lineups, Daily Fantasy Picks

The Dodgers jumped out to a 1-0 series lead last night as they up together eight runs on ten hits as Clayton Kershaw pitched a solid game. Tampa missed their opportunity at the top of the first with two men on and nobody out but failed to bring a run in. Tyler Glasnow struggled with his command, and you can argue he should have been taken out earlier. Mookie Betts was the real star of the show with a 2-for-4 night, including a walk and an HR. He also stole two bases that the Dodgers could easily with Glasnow’s slow move to the plate. Cody Bellinger also hit a home run, and Max Muncy had a multi-hit day. It was the big bats to do the damage. Blake Snell will take the mound for the Rays in Game 2, with Tony Gonsolin drawing a start for the Dodgers. LA continues to be favored, and the total is 7.5. For odds movement and full matchup history, visit the Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Tampa Bay Rays Matchup Page.

TV Schedule

Date: Tuesday, October 21st, 2020
Time: 8:08 PM ET
Location: Globe Life Field – Arlington, TX
TV Coverage: FOX

Dodgers Starting Lineup

  1. Mookie Betts (R) RF
  2. Corey Seager (L) SS
  3. Justin Turner (R) 3B
  4. Max Muncy (L) 1B
  5. Will Smith (R) DH
  6. Cody Bellinger (L) CF
  7. A.J. Pollock (R) LF
  8. Kikè Hernandez (R) 2B
  9. Austin Barnes (R) C
  10. Tony Gonsolin (R) SP

Dodgers Analysis

los angeles dodgersThere really is no way the Rays can throw a pitcher out there against the Dodgers and feel good about the matchup. Even with the Rays now going with lefty Blake Snell, you look at this lineup and think, how will he get through that? We don’t need to talk much about Mookie Betts and Justin Turner from the plate’s right side. They are a problem, and we know that. But, when you have to face AJ Pollock, Kikè Hernandez, and potentially Chris Taylor to round out the 7-8-9 hitters, that is just flat out tough. The trio has combined for over a .350 wOBA and .220 ISO off left-handed pitching since last season. Outside of Taylor, they all have under a 20% strikeout rate as well. The left-handed bats in this group also hit lefties well. Bellinger has a .374 wOBA, Muncy .381, and Corey Seager has a .205 ISO and is one of the hottest hitters on the planet.

Dave Roberts will have the bullpen ready to go as Tony Gonsolin has struggled in his prior two outings. He is a right-handed arm with a 24% strikeout rate, 4.40 xFIP, and a 7.6% walk rate dating back to last season. He has had a very low .230 BABIP in that span and allows many fly balls and hard-contact. Those numbers usually don’t hold up for this long. The Rays are a big swing and miss team, as you saw last night but have a collective .331 wOBA and .210 ISO off right-handed pitching. The middle of the order will be the featured matchups for Gonsolin, as I believe he can get through the bottom half of this order with relative ease.

Rays Starting Lineup

  1. Randy Arozarena (R) LF
  2. Mike Brosseau (R) DH
  3. Austin Meadows (L) RF
  4. Ji-Man Choi (L) 1B
  5. Brandon Lowe (L) 2B
  6. Willy Adames (R) SS
  7. Kevin Kiermaier (L) CF
  8. Mike Zunino (R) C
  9. Joey Wendle (R) 3B
  10. Blake Snell (L) SP

Rays Analysis

tampa bay raysTampa is certainly going to need a better start out of their starting pitcher tonight as Tyler Glasnow struggled with command until the wheels eventually came off. Blake Snell has a 3.28 xFIP and 31% strikeout rate dating back to last season. The 9.1% walk rate is once again a concern for a Rays starting pitcher. This Dodgers team doesn’ strikeout a ton with a collective 21% strikeout rate against left-handers, and the walk rate of 11% is not great for Snell. Keeping the ball on the ground and limiting soft contact will be key for Snell. This is easier said than done as the Dodgers have the best 1-9 lineup in baseball, and the bottom half crushes left-handed pitching. If Snell can go at least five innings, they will pass it on to an excellent bullpen that can shut the door even against a tougher lineup.

With the right-hander on the mound for the Dodgers, the Rays will sneak back in a few more left-handed bats. Ji-Man Choi will get into the lineup, and this will be a big lefty bat in the order. He has a .362 wOBA and .211 ISO off right-handed pitching dating back to last season. Austin Meadows will also get into the lineup and has a .370 wOBA and .255 ISO off right-handers since 2019. These are certainly two bats that can spark some pop in this Rays offense that will need even the series

Dodgers Vs Rays Daily Fantasy Angle

Dating back to last season Tony Gonsolin has a 24% strikeout rate and a 7% walk rate. He is a flyball arm and has limited damage to both sides of the plate but has allowed a lot of hard-contact that will surely catch up with him over time. His fastball is not good but he has an excellent slider and splitter combination. Once again Arozarena is a name to use with a .423 wOBA and .343 ISO off right-handers. I like the lefty power bats here as well with Brandon Lowe, Austin Meadows, and Ji-Man Choi. For the Dodgers, you like the right-handed bats. Justin Turner and Will Smith have strong numbers off southpaws but guys like Chris Taylor, Kikè Hernandez, and AJ Pollock also have strong numbers against southpaws. This Dodgers lineup 1-9 is great because even the left-handed bats crush southpaws, and Snell has allowed a .187 ISO to left-handed hitters since last season.

Dodgers Vs. Rays Betting Odds

Dodgers Odds: -156
Rays Odds: +146
Over/Under: 7.5

There probably won’t be many changes in the game odds each week as the Dodgers are still favorites, and the over/under is set at 7.5. I talked about the over yesterday, and it went as planned. Tyler Glasnow struggled with his command, and the Dodgers were able to get to him while the Rays chipped in with their runs. There is an over potential here because Blake Snell has had his walk issues, especially in the postseason so far, with a 4.5 BB/9, and the 4.55 xFIP isn’t encouraging either. Tony Gonsolin has pitched 6.1 innings in the two postseason games against Atlanta, where he allowed seven earned runs and walked six. It is not ideal, so an over bet is worth looking at as the offenses can beat both of these starting arms.

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Jason Guilbault has been writing and podcasting in the fantasy sports world for over five years. You can find his work at Daily Fantasy Cafe. He is an avid Tottenham fan, and follows the Boston sports teams. When he isn’t diving into stats, he is enjoying the outdoors or down at the local brewery.

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