Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Tampa Bay Rays Matchup Preview (10/23/20): Betting Odds, Starting Lineups, Daily Fantasy Picks

We have a pair of aces on the table for Game 3 tonight with Walker Buehler on the mound for the Dodgers and Charlie Morton for the Rays. Tampa evened the series in Game 2 with a 6-4 win. Neither starter had a clean start, although the Dodgers went to the bullpen very quickly. Snell struck out nine over 4.2 innings and allowed two earned, but walks plagued him once again. Loup and Castillo held down the fourth at the end of the game. Dustin May struggled again and that has been the case in these playoffs. He allowed three runs on four hits, including the second to Brandon Loew who was the breakout player of the game. Corey Seager stayed hot for the Dodgers with a home run and two-hit night but the other big bats failed to record a hit. Game 3 is bringing similar odds and a 7.5 run total that I was on the over in the prior two games but this is a game where the under is worth looking at. For odds movement and full matchup history, visit the Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Tampa Bay Rays Matchup Page.

TV Schedule

Date: Wednesday, October 22nd, 2020
Time: 8:08 PM ET
Location: Globe Life Field – Arlington, TX
TV Coverage: FOX

Dodgers Starting Lineup

  1. Mookie Betts (R) RF
  2. Corey Seager (L) SS
  3. Justin Turner (R) 3B
  4. Max Muncy (L) 1B
  5. Will Smith (R) DH
  6. Cody Bellinger (L) CF
  7. A.J. Pollock (R) LF
  8. Chris Taylor (R) 2B
  9. Austin Barnes (R) C
  10. Walker Buehler (R) SP

Dodgers Analysis

los angeles dodgersThis should be a completely different style of game from the first two games as both these arms won’t walk themselves into trouble and we can generally count on them to go 5+ innings. However, Walker Buehler and his blister issues have popped up every now and then and this would be the worst timing against this Rays offense and having to have the Dodgers bullpen go 5-6 innings again. It would be bad for this game alone but also the next few games due to no days off with three straight games. Buehler’s strikeout numbers could really show in this game as the projected Rays offense has over a 25% strikeout rate against right-handed pitching. Of course, their .330 wOBA and .210 ISO still make them a dangerous lineup to get through.

Los Angeles facing Charlie Morton is a tough task, but there are a few names where I really like them in this matchup. Corey Seager is one of them and not just because he has been en fuego this postseason, but he hits curveballs very well. Seager has a .402 wOBA, .389 ISO, and 77% contact rate against right-handed curveballs. Justin Turner has an 86% contact rate and .360 wOBA, while Bellinger sits with a .364 wOBA .243 ISO.

Rays Starting Lineup

  1. Randy Arozarena (R) LF
  2. Mike Brosseau (R) DH
  3. Austin Meadows (L) RF
  4. Ji-Man Choi (L) 1B
  5. Brandon Lowe (L) 2B
  6. Willy Adames (R) SS
  7. Kevin Kiermaier (L) CF
  8. Mike Zunino (R) C
  9. Joey Wendle (R) 3B
  10. Charlie Morton (R) SP

Rays Analysis

tampa bay raysThis would be a pivotal game in the series to win if they can defeat Walker Buehler. He has been their most dominant arm over the last two years when healthy. Buehler has a heavy fastball that he uses over 50% of the time against both sides of the plate. He averages 96mph but can certainly top out at a much higher speed. Against high-velocity fastballs, Brandon Lowe could be the star of the show again. He has a .200 ISO and .386 wOBA against them. Willy Adames has sneaky good numbers with a .228 ISO and .332 wOBA. Kevin Kiermaier will bounce back into the lineup and has a .429 wOBA and .308 ISO off this speed. The rest of the lineup does not handle it well and will have to adjust off his other pitches as well.

Getting through the Dodgers order is a tough task for anyone but Charlie Morton stands the best chance due to his control and nasty curveball. As mentioned above there are a few names to watch out for with that curveball but it is one of the best in the business and he gets a lot of weak and ground ball contact off of it. Since last season, hitters have a 0.90 ISO off his curveball. For what it is worth he has allowed a .252 wOBA against this Dodgers roster.

Dodgers Vs Rays Daily Fantasy Angle

With two quality arms on the hill this game, there won’t be a ton of positive matchups. Charlie Morton has a 29% strikeout rate and 3.29 xFIP dating back to last season and has only a 7.1% walk rate in that span as well. He has held both sides of the plate to under a .300 wOBA in that span and has a 33% strikeout rate against left-handed hitters. As for Walker Buehler, he also doesn’t have many weaknesses, with a 29% strikeout rate and 3.38 xFIP in that same span. Buehler relies on that very good fastball of his that averages 96mph. He will work in some other pitches but a few names that hit the high-velocity fastball well are Brandon Lowe, Kevin Kiermaier, and Willy Adames. Morton is a bit more crafty and throws a curveball over 30% of the time to both sides of the plate, but nearly 40% to left-handers. Seager, Bellinger, and Turner are the names that stand out here, especially Seager with a .389 ISO and .402 wOBA.

Dodgers Vs. Rays Betting Odds

Dodgers Odds: -150
Rays Odds: +138
Over/Under: 7.5

The over has hit in the first two games where I have been targeting more over the money line and spread bets. In this game, I like the under more with two starters capable of going deeper than the first sets of starters. Both don’t have walk issues and high strikeout rates capable of taming these offenses. The one thing to note as mentioned above is Walker Buehler’s blister issues. If they arise then we get Buehler out of the game and into a Dodgers bullpen that I don’t trust a ton. The Rays money line is interesting here in Game 3.

Bet on This Game

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Jason Guilbault has been writing and podcasting in the fantasy sports world for over five years. You can find his work at Daily Fantasy Cafe. He is an avid Tottenham fan, and follows the Boston sports teams. When he isn’t diving into stats, he is enjoying the outdoors or down at the local brewery.

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