The Baltimore Ravens play host to the Los Angeles Rams on Sunday (12/10/23). In this article, find the latest betting odds for the game and a full matchup preview. In addition, find our Rams vs. Ravens best bet, which is the Rams +7.
Los Angeles Rams vs. Baltimore Ravens Prediction
The Ravens come into this game incredibly well rested.When they take the field Sunday, they will have played just one game in the last 24 days. While that extended rest should afford some players an opportunity to get healthier, it could also lead to rust early on against a Rams team that is absolutely rolling right now with three straight wins, the last two of which came by 14+ points.
I have ongoing concerns about the effectiveness of the Ravens’ offense without tight end Mark Andrews, who suffered a serious ankle injury a few weeks ago. In the one game we’ve seen of the Ravens without Andrews, Lamar Jackson struggled with his worst completion rate (56.3%) and yards per attempt (5.5) of the season.
The Rams’ defense isn’t full of household names, but defensive coordinator Raheem Morris deserves a ton of credit for coaching up the young talent on this roster. Rookie defensive tackle Kobie Turner has 23 pressures and 5.5 sacks while second-year cornerback Derion Kenrdick has gotten better every week. Aaron Donald remains a player capable of taking over a game, as well.
Los Angeles has only had the trio of Cooper Kupp, Puka Nacua and Kyren Williams on the field together for three games. They’re 3-0 in those games and averaging 33 points per game and 412.7 yards per game. The Ravens’ defense has been excellent, ranking first in DVOA and second in EPA, but they have undoubtedly benefitted from a schedule including four backup quarterbacks.
Weather could play a significant factor in this game as heavy wind and rain are expected. That has led to the total in this game crashing, and it should only lead to a more conservative approach from the Ravens at home. That will help the Rams stay in the game, especially as both of these teams rank bottom ten in pace of play.
The cherry on top here is Lamar Jackson’s track record as a favorite. Jackson is 6-15 ATS (28.7%) as a favorite by over 3 points and 1-8 ATS (11.1%) as a favorite of 7+ points per BetLabs. Let’s take the points with the underdog Rams here and bet on Matthew Stafford leading his team to a cover or possibly an outright upset.
Los Angeles Rams vs. Baltimore Ravens Prediction: Rams +7
Los Angeles Rams vs. Baltimore Ravens Best Odds
After opening with a total of 45 points, the under was hit hard in the market and has been driven down to 40.5 points. The expectation for heavy rain and wind across the East Coast has seen several totals crash this week. Pay attention to the weather reports before placing a wager on the total. With a spread of 7 points favoring the Ravens, that leads to an implied score of around 24-17.
Los Angeles Rams vs. Baltimore Ravens Key Injuries
The big injury news for the Ravens has been the absence of star tight end Mark Andrews, who hit the IR with an ankle injury. Cornerback Marlon Humphrey is also questionable for this game with a calf injury. The Rams, meanwhile, have Puka Nacua listed as questionable with a shoulder injury, but he’s expected to play.
Los Angeles Rams vs. Baltimore Ravens Key Matchups
The Rams and Ravens are in different tiers as teams with Baltimore pushing for the top seed in the AFC and Los Angeles fighting to maintain a foothold in the Wild Card race in the NFC. However, both teams have some very talented players who will be featured on Sunday. Let’s break them down here.
Kyren Williams vs. Ravens’ Run Defense
There’s no question that the Rams are a different team with Kyren Williams on the field, and he’s wasted little time regaining his footing with a total of 316 yards from scrimmage and three touchdowns over the last two weeks since his return to the lineup. Williams has been one of the NFL’s most efficient running backs this season, ranking fifth among qualified backs with 5.1 yards per carry and 3.56 yards after contact per attempt.
The Ravens boast an elite run defense that ranks 4th in DVOA, and they rarely allow big plays to be broken as they rank 9th in tackling per PFF. Roquan Smith has been a transformative player for the defense since coming over via trade last season, while defensive linemen Michael Pierce, Justin Madubuike and Odafe Oweh all grade out very favorably against the run.
Zay Flowers vs. Rams’ Pass Defense
With Mark Andrews presumably out for at least the rest of the regular season, the onus falls on rookie wide receiver Zay Flowers to lead the team’s receiving group. Flowers has had an impressive rookie season with 58 catches for 613 yards and two touchdowns. He’s a constant threat to generate big plays after the catch as his 14 missed tackles forced rank 8th in the NFL. He scored two touchdowns against the Chargers in the team’s last outing.
In this game, Flowers faces a secondary with sneaky good cornerback play. Boundary corners Derion Kendrick and Akhello Witherspoon both rank inside the top 70 out of 129 qualified corners in PFF coverage grades. Flowers has played 30.1% of his snaps in the slot, where he’ll encounter easier coverage, but expect a hard fought battle when he’s lined up on the boundary.