LSU and Georgia face off in the first round of the SEC Tournament. LSU is coming off a road loss to Florida, while Georgia is coming off a road loss to South Carolina. My prediction is that Georgia covers the 3-point spread despite LSU being favored here. Both teams have struggled this year, but there’s more to like with Georgia than LSU.
LSU vs. Georgia Prediction
Georgia has a chance to right the ship a bit because they’re on a 5-game losing streak coming into the SEC Tournament.
Terry Roberts is a do-it-all guard for the Bulldogs and leads the team in scoring at 13.3 PPG, assists at 4 per game, and steals at 1.5 per game. He’s capable of carrying this team if needed. Kario Oquendo is right behind Roberts in scoring and helps a dynamic backcourt be that much better. He averages 12.8 PPG too. Braelen Bridges and Justin Hill are two others to watch for the Bulldogs. Bridges is the starting center down low and averages 8.5 PPG and 5 rebounds per game. Hill is the third guard that can provide some offense when needed. He averages 8.5 PPG and can help Oquendo and Roberts.
The Bulldogs don’t excel at much on both sides of the court this year. They average 68.6 PPG and give up 71.5 PPG, which highlights the struggles they’ve had this year.
On the other side, LSU was the worst team in the SEC this year with an in-conference record of 2-16.
KJ Williams is easily the best player for the Tigers this year. He leads the team in scoring at 17.4 PPG, rebounds at 8 per game, steals at 1.2 per game, and 1 assist per game. He does it all and can carry the Tigers if they need it. Adam Miller is the only other player that averages double digits at 12 PPG, and is the best perimeter player they have. Derek Fountain is KJ Williams’ sidekick down low and provides some good help. He averages 8 PPG and is right behind Williams at 5.5 rebounds per game. Cam Hayes is Adam Miller’s sidekick in the backcourt. He averages 8 PPG and can provide some offense when needed.
LSU has also struggled a ton this year as a team. They average 67.5 PPG and give up 70.6 PPG.
Georgia is the pick here, but KJ Williams is going to be the best player on the court for either team. Georgia should cover and potentially win because they have the better backcourt. Take the guards in a tournament setting, Georgia covers and wins outright in a very close game.
LSU vs. Georgia Prediction: Georgia +3
LSU vs. Georgia Odds
LSU is a 3-point favorite against Georgia and is at -155 on the money line. The over/under is also at 141. LSU being favored is mainly because Georgia’s on a losing streak and the Tigers look slightly better right now. The over/under also makes sense because each team is just average at best on both offense and defense. This spread could move a bit too just because it’s so close.
LSU vs. Georgia Key Matchups
Can Adam Miller matchup with Terry Roberts? Can Braelen Bridges matchup with KJ Williams?
Terry Roberts vs Adam Miller
Terry Roberts does it all for Georgia. He averages 13 points, 4 assists, 4 rebounds, and 1.5 steals per game for the season. He’ll be matched up against Adam Miller most of the game, who averages 12 points, 2 assists, 2 rebounds, and 1 steal per game for the season. Terry Roberts is the biggest reason I have Georgia covering the +3 spread in my LSU vs Georgia prediction. Miller has his hands full in this matchup.
KJ Williams vs Braelen Bridges
KJ Williams is a great player for the Tigers. He averages 17 points, 1 assist, 8 rebounds, and 1 block per game for the season. He’ll be matched up against Braeln Bridges most of the game, who averages 8.5 points, 1 assist, and 5 rebounds per game for the season. KJ Williams is the biggest reason why that prediction of Georgia covering +3 might not happen. Bridges also has his hands full because Williams can take over a game if possible.