Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercury Prediction, Odds and Game Preview – June 22

A pair of the WNBA‘s best scorers match up — Napheesa Collier (fourth, 20.7 points per game) and Kahleah Copper (third, 23.5) — when the Minnesota Lynx (12-3) host the Phoenix Mercury (8-7) on June 22, 2024 on NBA TV, BSN, AZFamily, and Mercury Live.

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Spread: Lynx (+5) to Cover

  • Our computers expect the same result as DraftKings, but have the Lynx winning by a considerably more robust margin (11.9 points). Take the Lynx.
  • The Lynx’s ATS record is 11-4-0 this season.
  • Minnesota is 4-3 against the spread when favored by 5 points or more this season.
  • The Mercury’s ATS record is 10-5-0 this year.
  • In games this season in which it was an underdog by 5 points or more, Phoenix has a 6-3 record against the spread.

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Total: Under 167.5

  • In this matchup, the model projects a total (164.5 points) a little lower than the DraftKings over/under (167.5 points).
  • Lynx games have gone over 167.5 points scored, their current matchup’s over/under, four times (out of 15) this year.
  • Seven of Phoenix’s 15 games this season have had more than 167.5 total points scored.
  • In the Lynx’s 15 games with a set total, six have hit the over (40%).
  • Mercury games have hit the over in seven out of 15 opportunities (46.7%).

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Moneyline Winner: Lynx (-218)

  • Prediction: Lynx 88, Mercury 76
  • Minnesota has compiled a 7-1 record in games when it was favored on the moneyline (winning 87.5% of those games).

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Lynx Leaders

  • The Lynx leader in points and rebounds is Collier, who scores 20.7 points and pulls down 10.1 rebounds per game.
  • Courtney Williams leads Minnesota in assists, averaging 5.6 per game while also scoring 10.3 points per contest.
  • Kayla McBride makes more threes per game than any other member of the Lynx, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 3.4 per contest.
  • Collier is Minnesota’s leader in steals, averaging 2.4 steals per game, while Alanna Smith leads them in blocks with 1.9 per contest.

Lynx Injuries

Name Game Status Injury
Diamond Miller Out Knee

Mercury Leaders

  • Copper scores 23.5 points per game and is the top scorer for the Mercury.
  • The Phoenix leaders in rebounding and assists are Natasha Mack with 5.7 rebounds per game (she also adds 3.8 points and 1.6 assists per game) and Natasha Cloud with 7.3 assists per game (she also tacks on 10.5 points and 4.6 rebounds per game).
  • Diana Taurasi averages 2.9 three-pointers per game, the most on the Mercury.
  • Phoenix’s leader in steals is Cloud (1.6 per game), and its leader in blocks is Mack (1.8 per game).

Mercury Injuries

Name Game Status Injury
Brittney Griner Out Toe

All stats in this article refer to the 2024 regular season.

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