Maple Leafs vs. Bruins Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – NHL Playoffs First Round Game 4

The Toronto Maple Leafs and Boston Bruins meet in Game 4 of the NHL Playoffs First Round on Saturday, April 27, starting at 8:00 PM ET on TBS, truTV, SportsNet, TVAS, CBC, Max, and NESN. The Bruins have a 2-1 edge in the series. Oddsmakers favor the Maple Leafs in this matchup, listing them -110 moneyline odds against the Bruins (-110).

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To prepare for this matchup, here is who we project to take home the victory in Saturday’s NHL Playoffs First Round action.

Maple Leafs vs. Bruins Predictions for Saturday

Our computer projection model for this contest calls for a final result of Maple Leafs 4, Bruins 3.

  • Moneyline Pick: Maple Leafs (-110)
  • Total Pick: Over 6 (computer predicts 6.4 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Bruins (+1.5)

Maple Leafs Splits and Trends

  • The Maple Leafs are 13-10-23 in overtime games on their way to a 46-26-10 overall record.
  • Toronto is 15-6-8 (38 points) in its 29 games decided by one goal.
  • The 10 times this season the Maple Leafs ended a game with only one goal, they went 2-8-0 (four points).
  • Toronto has scored exactly two goals in 14 games this season (2-10-2 record, six points).
  • The Maple Leafs have scored three or more goals in 61 games (43-10-8, 94 points).
  • In the 30 games when Toronto has recorded a single power-play goal, it went 17-10-3 to record 37 points.
  • In the 48 games when it outshot its opponent, Toronto is 25-15-8 (58 points).
  • The Maple Leafs have been outshot by opponents 33 times, and went 20-12-1 (41 points).

Bruins Splits and Trends

  • The Bruins have a record of 47-20-15 this season and are 11-15-26 in overtime games.
  • In the 30 games Boston has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 36 points.
  • This season the Bruins recorded just one goal in 13 games and have gone 0-9-4 (four points).
  • Boston has 10 points (3-7-4) when scoring a pair of goals this season.
  • The Bruins have scored more than two goals 56 times, earning 99 points from those matchups (46-3-7).
  • This season, Boston has recorded a single power-play goal in 33 games has a record of 20-7-6 in those matchups.
  • When outshooting its opponent this season, Boston is 18-3-6 (42 points).
  • The Bruins have been outshot by opponents 54 times this season, and earned 63 points in those games.

Team Stats Comparison

Maple Leafs Rank Maple Leafs AVG Bruins AVG Bruins Rank
2nd 3.63 Goals Scored 3.21 13th
21st 3.18 Goals Allowed 2.7 5th
7th 32.6 Shots 29.3 21st
16th 29.8 Shots Allowed 30.5 21st
7th 23.95% Power Play % 22.22% 14th
23rd 76.89% Penalty Kill % 82.46% 7th

Maple Leafs vs. Bruins Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Saturday, April 27, 2024 at 8:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: TBS, truTV, SportsNet, TVAS, CBC, Max, and NESN
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo
  • Where: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario

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