Predictions for Mariners vs. Astros: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – May 30

Thursday’s contest between the Seattle Mariners (31-26) and Houston Astros (24-32) squaring off at T-Mobile Park has a projected final score of 4-3 (according to our computer prediction) in favor of the Mariners, so it should be a tight matchup. The game will begin at 4:10 PM ET on May 30.

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Mariners vs. Astros Matchup Info

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Mariners vs. Astros Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Mariners 4, Astros 3
  • Total Prediction: Over 7 runs

Mariners vs. Astros Betting Lines

Mariners vs Astros Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Mariners -112 -108 7 -118 -102

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Mariners Betting Insights

  • Seattle has been the favorite in 30 games this season, and has come away with the win 18 times (60%) in those contests.
  • The Mariners have a win-loss record of 18-12 when favored by -112 or better by bookmakers this year.
  • Seattle and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 22 of 57 opportunities.
  • The Mariners went 4-3 over the seven games they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
  • In its past 15 outings, Seattle and its opponents combined to go over the run total six times (all 15 of the games had set totals).

Astros Betting Insights

  • Houston has a 5-8 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 38.5% of those games).
  • When they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of -108 or longer, the Astros have a 3-6 record (winning just 33.3% of their games).
  • Houston has combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 21 times this season for a 21-32-3 record against the over/under.
  • The Astros have played as underdogs in three of their past 15 games and won one of those contests.
  • Houston and its opponents have combined to hit the over five times in its past 15 games with a total.

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Mariners vs. Astros Probable Pitchers

Mariners’ Starting Pitcher: Logan Gilbert

  • The 27-year-old has pitched in 11 games this season with an ERA of 3.06, a 3.47 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of .962.
  • Logan Gilbert’s team is 3-3 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • Gilbert’s team has won six of his 11 starts.
  • Out of Gilbert’s 11 starts with a total this season, three have hit the over.

Astros’ Starting Pitcher: Spencer Arrighetti

  • The 24-year-old has a 6.93 ERA and 10.3 strikeouts per nine innings over eight games this season, while allowing a batting average of .305 to his opponents.
  • The Astros were named the moneyline underdog for two Spencer Arrighetti starts this season — they lost both.
  • Arrighetti’s team has won three of his eight starts.
  • Arrighetti’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in five of eight contests.

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Mariners’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 31-26
Home 18-10
Road 13-16
One-Run Games 11-4
Scoring 5+ Runs 17-1

Astros’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 24-32
Home 14-15
Road 10-17
One-Run Games 5-12
Scoring 5+ Runs 20-2

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