Predictions for Mariners vs. Blue Jays: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – July 5

Friday’s contest at T-Mobile Park has the Seattle Mariners (48-41) matching up with the Toronto Blue Jays (39-48) at 9:40 PM ET (on July 5). Our computer prediction projects a close 5-4 win for the Mariners, so expect a tight matchup.

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Mariners vs. Blue Jays Matchup Info

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Mariners vs. Blue Jays Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Mariners 5, Blue Jays 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7 runs

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Mariners vs. Blue Jays Betting Lines

Mariners vs Blue Jays Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Mariners -135 +114 7 -122 +102

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Mariners Betting Insights

  • Seattle has been chosen as the favorite in 53 games this year, and has walked away with the win 32 times (60.4%) in those games.
  • This season, the Mariners have been victorious 22 times in 34 chances when named as a favorite of at least -135 or shorter on the moneyline.
  • Seattle and its opponents have hit the over in 37 of 89 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Mariners had a 3-5 record in the eight games they were a moneyline favorite over their last 15 matchups.
  • Over its past 15 matchups (all had set totals), Seattle combined with its opponents to hit the over on the run total eight times.

Blue Jays Betting Insights

  • Toronto has been the underdog on the moneyline 35 total times this season. It has finished 9-26 in those games.
  • The Blue Jays are 5-7 (winning 41.7% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +114 or longer.
  • Toronto has played in 87 games with an over/under set, and it has combined with its opponents to go over the total 41 times (41-43-3).
  • In 11 games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Blue Jays have a record of 3-8.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Toronto and its opponents are 10-4-1 when it comes to hitting the over.

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Mariners vs. Blue Jays Probable Pitchers

Mariners’ Starting Pitcher: Luis Castillo

  • The 31-year-old has pitched in 18 games this season with a 3.87 ERA and 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .244.
  • Luis Castillo’s team has been victorious in 54.5% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 6-5.
  • Castillo’s team has won eight of his 18 starts this season.
  • Games Castillo has started this season hit the over seven times in 18 chances.

Blue Jays’ Starting Pitcher: Kevin Gausman

  • In 17 games this season, the 33-year-old has amassed a 4.75 ERA and 9.0 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .266 to opposing batters.
  • The Blue Jays have been the moneyline underdog in four of Gausman’s starts this season, and they went 2-2 in those games.
  • Gausman’s team is 8-9 in his 17 starts.
  • Gausman’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in 13 of 17 contests.

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Mariners’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 48-41
Home 29-16
Road 19-25
One-Run Games 18-9
Scoring 5+ Runs 28-2

Blue Jays’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 39-48
Home 21-24
Road 18-24
One-Run Games 9-14
Scoring 5+ Runs 31-6

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