Predictions for Mariners vs. Orioles: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – July 4

Thursday’s game at T-Mobile Park has the Baltimore Orioles (55-31) taking on the Seattle Mariners (47-41) at 4:10 PM ET (on July 4). Our computer prediction projects a close 5-4 win for the Orioles, so expect a competitive matchup.

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Mariners vs. Orioles Matchup Info

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Mariners vs. Orioles Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Orioles 5, Mariners 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7 runs

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Mariners vs. Orioles Betting Lines

Mariners vs Orioles Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Mariners -148 +124 7 -110 -110

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Mariners Betting Insights

  • Seattle has won 32, or 60.4%, of the 53 contests it has been named as the odds-on favorite in this year.
  • This season, the Mariners have been victorious 19 times in 29 chances when named as a favorite of at least -148 or better on the moneyline.
  • Seattle’s games have gone over the total in 36 of 88 opportunities.
  • The Mariners were the moneyline favorite in nine of their past 15 games, and they finished 4-5 in those matchups.
  • In its past 15 outings, Seattle and its opponents combined to go over the run total seven times (all 15 of the games had set totals).

Orioles Betting Insights

  • Baltimore has won 70.6% of the games this season it was the moneyline underdog (12-5).
  • The Orioles have played as a moneyline underdog of +124 or longer in just one game this season, which they won.
  • Baltimore has combined with opponents to go over the total 42 times this season for a 42-32-11 record against the over/under.
  • The Orioles have played as underdogs in five of their past 15 games and won four of those contests.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, Baltimore and its opponents are 8-7-0 in its past 15 games with a total.

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Mariners vs. Orioles Probable Pitchers

Mariners’ Starting Pitcher: Bryce Miller

  • The 25-year-old has pitched in 17 games this season with a 3.88 ERA and 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .208.
  • Bryce Miller’s team has a record of 4-4 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Miller’s team is 9-8 when he starts this season.
  • In Miller’s 17 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over eight times.

Orioles’ Starting Pitcher: Corbin Burnes

  • In 17 games this season, the 29-year-old has amassed an ERA of 2.28, with 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .216 against him.
  • The Orioles have always been the moneyline underdog when Corbin Burnes starts this season.
  • Burnes’ team has won 12 of his 17 starts.
  • Burnes has started 17 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in eight of them.

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Mariners’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 47-41
Home 28-16
Road 19-25
One-Run Games 18-9
Scoring 5+ Runs 27-2

Orioles’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 55-31
Home 29-17
Road 26-14
One-Run Games 9-11
Scoring 5+ Runs 38-5

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